Match Info

NIFL Championship - Round 11

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	Dundela		Newington

	1	X	2
	4.45	3.9	1.65
	4.32	3.86	1.62
	4.02	3.16	1.96	Watch
	4.61	3.96	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.35 ↑ (2.08)	3.72 ↓ (4.13)	1.71 ↓ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dundela
21.2%

Draw
24.8%

Newington
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

23.6%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

24.9%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dundela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-25.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dundela's form might have worsened.

Newington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+24.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Newington's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dundela than the current prediction. (+28.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dundela, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newington than the current prediction. (-26.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Newington, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Dundela - Newington Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone NIFL Championship (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Championship (Promotion Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dundela won 3.

Dundela is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Newington is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Newington may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Dundela has had a series of away games.

In this match, Newington is seen as the favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Dundela won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:15. (average 2.5:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Dundela won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 2.6:2.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dundela
Northern Irish League Cup
07.10.25	Harland & Wolff Welders - Dundela	6:0 ✺
Northern Irish Championship
04.10.25	Armagh City - Dundela	3:0 ✺
26.09.25	Dundela - Harland & Wolff Welders	3:3 ✺
20.09.25	Ballinamallard United - Dundela	2:1 ✺
16.09.25	Limavady United - Dundela	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLTLL
- Newington FC
Northern Irish League Cup
07.10.25	Newington - Limavady United	3:1 ✺
Northern Irish Championship
04.10.25	Newington - Ards	0:3 ✺
27.09.25	Newington - Warrenpoint Town	3:0 ✺
20.09.25	Institute FC - Newington	0:1 ✺
16.09.25	Armagh City - Newington	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
29.03.25	Dundela - Newington	1:3
16.11.24	Dundela - Newington	3:1
28.09.24	Newington - Dundela	1:1
23.03.24	Newington - Dundela	1:3
04.11.23	Dundela - Newington	4:2
11.02.23	Newington - Dundela	2:3
25.11.22	Dundela - Newington	3:4

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