Match Info

NIFL Premiership - Round 10

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Solitude (Belfast)

Referee: Gregg S. (Nir)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Nifl TV


	Cliftonville		Ballymena United

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.50	2.80
	2.12	3.40	2.88
	2.18	4.02	3.01
	2.27	3.74	2.63	Watch
	2.11	3.90	2.95
	2.19	3.67	2.93
	2.14	3.55	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.03)	3.68 ↓ (3.73)	2.86 ↓ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cliftonville
42.7%

Draw
25.1%

Ballymena United
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

24.6%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

25%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cliftonville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Ballymena United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cliftonville than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ballymena United than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Cliftonville - Ballymena United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Morrison P. (G) 25. Bannon A. 7. Campbell R. 8. Hale R. 10. Healy B. 15. McClelland K. 16. McMaster D. 20. Quinn B. 3. Samuels O. 34. Stanfield P. 17. Thompson J.	1. Walsh D. (G) 8. Archer J. 3. Glynn M. 21. Hood J. 26. Lyons-Foster K. 15. McCallion D. 24. McConnell C. 9. Rutkowski I. 6. Sule F. 13. Thorndike F. 2. Toure D.
Substitutes
14. Conlan L. 22. Cremen Cowan J. (G) 19. Gormley J. 12. Leppard S. 27. McStravick L. 43. Murray C. 41. Sheridan J.	23. Breen D. (G) 32. Burns C. 20. Fallon S. 17. Leetch M. 7. McKee C. 18. Murray S. 5. Whiteside S.
Coaches
Magilton J.	Kearney O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Lyons-Foster K. 🟨,
27', Stanfield P. 🟨,
31', McMaster D. 🟨,
32', Glynn M. ↓, Leetch M. ↑,
35', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', 🟨,
58', 0 - 1, Rutkowski I. ⚽,
59', 🟨,
60', Toure D. 🟨,
65', Hood J. 🟨,
71', McCallion D. ↓, Whiteside S. ↑,
71', Hood J. ↓, Murray S. ↑,
71', 🟥,
77', Thorndike F. ↓, McKee C. ↑,

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 7th in the NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 9th in the NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cliftonville won 2.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Cliftonville has recorded 10 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 37:25 (averaging 1.9:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Cliftonville against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 25:10 goals (averaging 2.3:0.9 per game).

Outrights of Northern Irish Premiership for now

Cliftonville: 0.84% Ballymena: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Ballymena	9	3	3	3	13:11	2	12
9	Cliftonville	10	4	0	6	12:12	0	12

Last Results with these Odds

Cliftonville - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 45.2%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cliftonville FC
Northern Irish Premiership
26.09.26	Limavady United - Cliftonville	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Cliftonville - Glentoran	1:2 ✺
15.09.26	Larne - Cliftonville	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Carrick Rangers - Cliftonville	1:3 ✺
05.09.26	Cliftonville - Portadown	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLLWW
- Ballymena United
Northern Irish Premiership
26.09.26	Ballymena United - Portadown	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Dungannon Swifts - Ballymena United	1:1 ✺
15.09.26	Ballymena United - Carrick Rangers	1:1 ✺
11.09.26	Coleraine - Ballymena United	3:2 ✺
05.09.26	Bangor - Ballymena United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Premiership
21.03.26	Cliftonville - Ballymena United	2:2
13.01.26	Ballymena United - Cliftonville	2:2
13.09.25	Cliftonville - Ballymena United	3:2
05.04.25	Cliftonville - Ballymena United	5:0
15.03.25	Ballymena United - Cliftonville	1:0
16.11.24	Cliftonville - Ballymena United	0:1
21.09.24	Ballymena United - Cliftonville	3:2

Upcoming Matches