Match Info

NIFL Premiership - Round 2

Date: 16 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Ballymena Showgrounds (Ballymena)


	Ballymena United		Linfield

	1	X	2
	4.6	3.5	1.68
	4.75	3.75	1.62
	5.4	4.12	1.54
	1.52	3.47	7.99	Watch
	4.99	3.74	1.63
	7.6	4.33	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.81 ↓ (7.75)	3.82 ↓ (4.29)	2.64 ↑ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ballymena United
24.5%

Draw
30.9%

Linfield
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.9%

21.4%

66.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.1%

21%

65.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ballymena United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ballymena United's performance.

Linfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Linfield might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ballymena United than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ballymena United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Linfield than the current prediction. (+21%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Linfield could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Ballymena United - Linfield Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ballymena United will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Linfield will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Linfield (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. O'Neill S. (C) 16. Clarke M. 22. Edogun S. 41. Hood J. 8. Jarvis A. 9. Kennedy B. 25. Mccallion D. 19. McCurry C. 2. Nelson K. 15. O'Donnell S. 5. Toure D.	1. Johns Ch. (G) 26. Baird I. 24. Brown S. 3. East E. 29. Fitzpatrick M. 15. Hall B. 8. McClean K. 34. McCullough D. 7. Millar K. 9. Offord K. 5. Shields C. (C)
Substitutes
6. Ali G. 23. Breen D. (G) 3. Lafferty D. 29. McNickle R. 11. O'Conchubhair D. 17. O’Reilly J. 20. Thompson J.	21. Archer J. 17. McKee C. 38. Morrison C. 2. Roscoe S. 32. Taylor S. 51. Walsh D. (G) 20. Yates M.
Coaches
Ervin J.	Healy D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Clarke M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Brown S. 🟨,
56', McCullough D. ↓, Taylor S. ↑,
58', Jarvis A. 🟨,
59', O'Neill S. 🟨,
61', Hall B. 🟨,
63', Baird I. ↓, McKee C. ↑,
63', Millar K. ↓, Morrison C. ↑,
73', McCurry C. ↓, O’Reilly J. ↑,
77', Edogun S. 🟨,
77', Edogun S. ↓, McNickle R. ↑,
80', Hood J. ↓, Lafferty D. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ballymena United won 0.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Ballymena United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Ballymena United has had a series of away games.

In this match, Linfield is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ballymena United won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 17 matches, and goals 12:44. (average 0.6:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Ballymena United won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 11:27. (average 0.9:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ballymena United
Northern Irish Premiership
13.09.25	Cliftonville - Ballymena United	3:2 ✺
06.09.25	Ballymena United - Glentoran	0:2 ✺
29.08.25	Larne - Ballymena United	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Ballymena United - Bangor	4:0 ✺
19.08.25	Portadown - Ballymena United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLLWW
- Linfield FC
Northern Irish Premiership
12.09.25	Glentoran - Linfield	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Linfield - Portadown	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.08.25	Linfield - Shelbourne	0:2 ✺
Northern Irish Premiership
24.08.25	Linfield - Cliftonville	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.08.25	Shelbourne - Linfield	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Premiership
07.02.25	Ballymena United - Linfield	2:2
09.11.24	Linfield - Ballymena United	2:0
10.08.24	Ballymena United - Linfield	0:2
24.02.24	Linfield - Ballymena United	2:0
Northern Irish Cup
03.02.24	Linfield - Ballymena United	2:0
Northern Irish Premiership
25.11.23	Linfield - Ballymena United	4:0
18.08.23	Ballymena United - Linfield	0:1

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