The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Balzan 25.7%
Draw 28.9%
Sliema Wanderers 45.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30%
26.4%
43.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.1%
27.2%
44.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Balzan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
Sliema Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Balzan than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sliema Wanderers than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Balzan - Sliema Wanderers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ciappara D. (G) 5. Arab S. (C) 14. Dimeji A. 2. Djoric N. 18. Ederson 21. Gabriel Santos 17. Guehi S. 7. Kuach Yuel V. 96. Leo Fernandes 11. Macula 8. Pulis N.
1. Bonello H. (G) 30. Alli W. M. 2. Borg J. (C) 29. Cojocaru I. 28. Drobarov V. 15. Gustavo Alcino 19. Karelis N. 8. Lorenzi M. 40. Polley R. 23. Satariano A. 10. Teuma T.
Substitutes
42. Cassar Z. 25. Celic V. 23. Cipriott S. 99. Djalo M. (G) 10. Farrugia N. 6. Grech J. 19. Lapira L. 22. Micallef K. 4. Portelli J. 24. Rosiel 9. Yahaya M.
77. Awad M. 20. Brincat Winters E. 4. Camara D. 11. Gambarte B. 14. Hijazi U. 31. Lauri F. (G) 17. Limbombe A. 3. Micallef N. 27. Montebello L. 7. Overend A. 70. Pisani S.
Coaches
Cohen A.
Nisevic B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
9', 🟨,
33', Polley R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Arab S. 🟨,
54', Teuma T. 🟨,
60', Lorenzi M. ↓, Pisani S. ↑,
61', Karelis N. ↓, Limbombe A. ↑,
78', Teuma T. ↓, Gambarte B. ↑,
85', Limbombe A. 🟨,
85', Kuach Yuel V. ↓, Yahaya M. ↑,
89', Alli W. M. ↓, Awad M. ↑,
90+1', Ederson ↓, Portelli J. ↑,
Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 8th in the Premier League (First stage ~ Play Out: ) and 7th in the Premier League (First stage ~ Play Out: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Balzan won 0.
Balzan is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Performances by Sliema Wanderers have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Sliema Wanderers may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Sliema Wanderers holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Balzan has recorded 8 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:26 (averaging 1.4:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Balzan against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 14:9 goals (averaging 1.8:1.1 per game).
Malta
Watch
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Ciappara D. (G) 
Dimeji A. 
Djoric N. 
Ederson 
Guehi S. 
Kuach Yuel V. 
Cojocaru I. 
Drobarov V. 
Karelis N. 
Lorenzi M. 
Polley R. 
Djalo M. (G) 
Awad M. 
Camara D. 
Gambarte B. 
Limbombe A. 
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