Match Info

Premier League - First stage - Main - Round 5

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Tony Bezzina Stadium (Paola)

Referee: Grech E. (Mlt)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Mosta		Sliema Wanderers

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.50	1.66
	4.6	3.45	1.62
	5.15	3.72	1.63
	4.29	3.61	1.73	Watch
	4.7	3.65	1.61
	4.64	3.61	1.7
	4.6	3.5	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.62 ↑ (3.94)	3.58 ↓ (3.6)	1.65 ↓ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mosta
19.7%

Draw
25.4%

Sliema Wanderers
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

25.5%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6%

24.8%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mosta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Sliema Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mosta than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sliema Wanderers than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Mosta - Sliema Wanderers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Udoh A. (G) 66. Acheampong G. 20. Afriyie P. 14. Agyiri E. 30. Cross N. 6. Frendo N. 10. Giancarlo 29. Oderinde C. 7. Portelli N. 93. Thiaguinho 11. Zammit K. (C)	1. Bonello H. (G) 30. Alli W. M. 2. Borg J. 29. Cojocaru I. 28. Drobarov V. 15. Gustavo Alcino 19. Karelis N. 70. Pisani S. (C) 40. Polley R. 23. Satariano A. 10. Teuma T.
Substitutes
15. Attard L. 16. Chetcuti L. 19. Debono R. 13. Ebere E. 26. Ezejiofor O. 33. Farrugia B. 99. Farrugia J. (G) 9. Ohaka P. 4. Ugwu E. 94. Vassallo S. 96. Wanderson Gotinha	44. Agu E. (G) 20. Brincat Winters E. 4. Camara D. 11. Gambarte B. 14. Grima G. 31. Lauri F. (G) 17. Limbombe A. 8. Lorenzi M. 3. Micallef N. 27. Montebello L. 7. Overend A.
Coaches
Grech J.	Nisevic B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, Gustavo Alcino ⚽,
19', 0 - 2, Karelis N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Agyiri E. ↓, Ezejiofor O. ↑,
46', Frendo N. ↓, Ohaka P. ↑,
60', 1 - 2, Giancarlo ⚽,
64', Alli W. M. ↓, Limbombe A. ↑,
64', Pisani S. ↓, Lorenzi M. ↑,
64', Oderinde C. ↓, Ebere E. ↑,
77', Teuma T. ↓, Gambarte B. ↑,
87', Ezejiofor O. ↓, Wanderson Gotinha ↑,
90', Karelis N. ↓, Overend A. ↑,
90+2', Cojocaru I. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 3, Gambarte B. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (First stage ~ Top 6: ) and 8 in the zone Premier League (First stage ~ Play Out: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mosta won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Mosta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sliema Wanderers is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mosta won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:27. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Mosta won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 1:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Mosta	5	3	1	1	7:5	2	10
7	Sliema	6	3	1	2	7:7	0	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mosta FC
Maltese Premier League
05.09.26	Marsaxlokk - Mosta	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Mosta - Birkirkara	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.26	Mosta - Balzan	0:2 ✺
24.07.26	Gżira United - Mosta	1:1 ✺
17.07.26	Mosta - Birżebbuġa St. Peters	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TWLTL
- Sliema Wanderers
Maltese Premier League
06.09.26	Sliema Wanderers - Birkirkara	2:1 ✺
30.08.26	Birżebbuġa St. Peters - Sliema Wanderers	1:2 ✺
21.08.26	Floriana - Sliema Wanderers	2:0 ✺
16.08.26	Sliema Wanderers - Paola Hibernians	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Birkirkara - Sliema Wanderers	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
19.04.26	Mosta - Sliema Wanderers	2:2
08.02.26	Mosta - Sliema Wanderers	0:1
22.08.25	Sliema Wanderers - Mosta	0:1
25.01.25	Mosta - Sliema Wanderers	0:1
21.12.24	Sliema Wanderers - Mosta	3:1
16.08.24	Sliema Wanderers - Mosta	2:0
Maltese FA Trophy
30.03.24	Mosta - Sliema Wanderers	2:3 penalties

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