Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 9

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday


	Bamber Bridge		Alfreton Town

	1	X	2
	3.00	3.50	1.98
	3.00	3.30	2.00
	3.00	3.70	2.05
	3.07	3.79	2.08	Watch
	2.95	3.65	2.02
	3.16	3.58	1.98
	3.00	3.55	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↓ (3.27)	3.58 ↓ (3.75)	2.01 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bamber Bridge
29.9%

Draw
25.2%

Alfreton Town
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

24.1%

48.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

23.5%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bamber Bridge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Alfreton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bamber Bridge than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Bamber Bridge - Alfreton Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
83', 1 - 0, Butterworth J. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Recent form of Bamber has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Alfreton's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Alfreton could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Alfreton	12	6	0	6	18:13	5	18
20	Bamber Bridge	11	2	3	6	16:31	-15	9

Last Results with these Odds

Alfreton Town - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 48.3%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bamber Bridge
English FA Cup
05.09.26	Bamber Bridge - Trafford	1:3 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
31.08.26	Warrington Rylands - Bamber Bridge	3:1 ✺
29.08.26	Bamber Bridge - Hyde United	4:4 ✺
25.08.26	Bamber Bridge - United of Manchester	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Leek Town - Bamber Bridge	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLTTL
- Alfreton Town
English FA Cup
05.09.26	Alfreton Town - Stratford Town	0:2 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
31.08.26	Whitby Town - Alfreton Town	1:4 ✺
29.08.26	Alfreton Town - Warrington Rylands	1:2 ✺
25.08.26	Alfreton Town - Hyde United	4:0 ✺
22.08.26	Stockton Town - Alfreton Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLWL

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