Match Info

FA Cup - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1


	Alfreton Town		Stratford Town

	1	X	2
	1.70	4.00	3.50
	1.70	3.80	3.75
	1.67	4.07	3.73
	1.7	4.37	3.94	Watch
	1.65	4.00	3.65
	1.79	4.20	3.68	Watch
	1.72	4.40	4.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.74)	4.12 ↓ (4.16)	3.75 ↑ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alfreton Town
53.5%

Draw
22.1%

Stratford Town
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

22.1%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

18.7%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alfreton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Stratford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alfreton Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stratford Town than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stratford Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alfreton Town - Stratford Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

Replayed if draw.

Alfreton has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Stratford has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Stratford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Alfreton is a strong favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alfreton Town
English NPL Premier Division
31.08.26	Whitby Town - Alfreton Town	1:4 ✺
29.08.26	Alfreton Town - Warrington Rylands	1:2 ✺
25.08.26	Alfreton Town - Hyde United	4:0 ✺
22.08.26	Stockton Town - Alfreton Town	2:0 ✺
18.08.26	Cleethorpes Town - Alfreton Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWLL
- Stratford Town
English Southern League Central Division
31.08.26	Racing Club Warwick - Stratford Town	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Stratford Town - Needham Market	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Real Bedford - Stratford Town	6:1 ✺
15.08.26	Stratford Town - Bury Town	1:3 ✺
11.08.26	Stratford Town - Redditch United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 TLLLT

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