Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 5

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday


	Leek Town		Bamber Bridge

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.40	3.10
	1.95	3.35	3.25
	1.96	3.83	3.12
	1.99	3.92	3.21	Watch
	1.94	3.75	3.05
	1.87	3.74	3.74
	1.90	3.55	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (1.98)	3.65 ↑ (3.45)	3.27 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leek Town
47.1%

Draw
25%

Bamber Bridge
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

26.4%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

24.3%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leek Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Bamber Bridge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leek Town than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bamber Bridge than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Leek Town - Bamber Bridge Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Ferguson C. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (4 - 0)
56', 1 - 1, Weir L. ⚽,
64', 2 - 1, Panter A. ⚽,
68', 3 - 1, Griffiths J. ⚽,
90', 4 - 1, Bickerton J. ⚽,

Preview

In recent matches, Leek has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Bamber is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Leek is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Leek won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Leek won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Leek	12	2	5	5	24:25	-1	11
20	Bamber Bridge	12	2	4	6	16:31	-15	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leek Town
English NPL Premier Division
18.08.26	Leek Town - Emley	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	Stockton Town - Leek Town	1:1 ✺
11.08.26	United of Manchester - Leek Town	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.26	Leek Town - Runcorn Linnets	1:1 ✺
25.07.26	Stalybridge Celtic - Leek Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LTTTT
- Bamber Bridge
English NPL Premier Division
18.08.26	Curzon Ashton - Bamber Bridge	2:2 ✺
15.08.26	Bamber Bridge - Ashton United	1:0 ✺
11.08.26	Bamber Bridge - Avro	1:6 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Bamber Bridge - Morecambe	0:3 ✺
14.07.26	Preston North End - Bamber Bridge	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
03.04.26	Leek Town - Bamber Bridge	3:2
19.08.25	Bamber Bridge - Leek Town	3:2
05.04.25	Leek Town - Bamber Bridge	1:0
30.11.24	Bamber Bridge - Leek Town	3:1

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