Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 32

Date: 12 March 2024, Tuesday


	Bamber Bridge		Atherton Collieries

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.5	5
	1.42	4.75	5.5
	1.44	5.18	5.22
	1.44	5.18	5.22
	1.4	4.5	5
	1.4	4.7	5.92
	1.42	4.75	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.5)	4.79 ↑ (4.35)	5.34 ↑ (4.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bamber Bridge
64%

Draw
19%

Atherton Collieries
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

21%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1%

19.9%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bamber Bridge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Atherton Collieries has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bamber Bridge than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atherton Collieries than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 13 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bamber won 3.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Atherton Collieries could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bamber is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Bamber won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Bamber won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bamber Bridge
English NPL Premier Division
24.02.24	Worksop Town - Bamber Bridge	2:4 ✺
10.02.24	Morpeth Town - Bamber Bridge	1:3 ✺
03.02.24	Macclesfield Town - Bamber Bridge	2:1 ✺
27.01.24	Bamber Bridge - Radcliffe	1:5 ✺
20.01.24	Bamber Bridge - Marine	1:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WWLLL
- Atherton Collieries
English NPL Premier Division
09.03.24	Morpeth Town - Atherton Collieries	2:1 ✺
05.03.24	Atherton Collieries - Guiseley	1:2 ✺
02.03.24	Hyde United - Atherton Collieries	3:2 ✺
13.02.24	Radcliffe - Atherton Collieries	2:2 ✺
10.02.24	Atherton Collieries - Gainsborough Trinity	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
26.09.23	Atherton Collieries - Bamber Bridge	1:2
25.02.23	Bamber Bridge - Atherton Collieries	2:0
12.11.22	Atherton Collieries - Bamber Bridge	0:3
08.03.22	Atherton Collieries - Bamber Bridge	2:0
12.10.21	Bamber Bridge - Atherton Collieries	1:2
20.10.20	Atherton Collieries - Bamber Bridge	5:0
30.11.19	Atherton Collieries - Bamber Bridge	4:1

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