Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 20

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday


	Morpeth Town		Atherton Collieries

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.5	6
	1.45	4.5	5.5
	1.49	4.98	4.8
	1.5	4.98	4.8
	1.57	4	4.33
	1.45	4.55	5.35
	1.45	4.5	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.64)	4.57 ↑ (4)	5.18 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Morpeth Town
62.3%

Draw
20%

Atherton Collieries
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

23.1%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

19.9%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morpeth Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Morpeth Town's performance.

Atherton Collieries has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morpeth Town than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Morpeth Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atherton Collieries than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atherton Collieries could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Morpeth Town - Atherton Collieries Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Morpeth won 3.

Recent matches Morpeth is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atherton Collieries has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Atherton Collieries could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Morpeth is certain favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Morpeth won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Morpeth won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Morpeth Town
English NPL Premier Division
24.02.24	Morpeth Town - United of Manchester	3:0 ✺
17.02.24	Guiseley - Morpeth Town	4:1 ✺
10.02.24	Morpeth Town - Bamber Bridge	1:3 ✺
03.02.24	Atherton Collieries - Morpeth Town	4:3 ✺
27.01.24	Morpeth Town - Hyde United	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLLL
- Atherton Collieries
English NPL Premier Division
05.03.24	Atherton Collieries - Guiseley	1:2 ✺
02.03.24	Hyde United - Atherton Collieries	3:2 ✺
13.02.24	Radcliffe - Atherton Collieries	2:2 ✺
10.02.24	Atherton Collieries - Gainsborough Trinity	0:1 ✺
03.02.24	Atherton Collieries - Morpeth Town	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
03.02.24	Atherton Collieries - Morpeth Town	4:3
11.02.23	Morpeth Town - Atherton Collieries	3:0
22.10.22	Atherton Collieries - Morpeth Town	1:1
23.04.22	Atherton Collieries - Morpeth Town	1:1
28.08.21	Morpeth Town - Atherton Collieries	2:0
08.02.20	Atherton Collieries - Morpeth Town	1:5
English FA Trophy
09.11.19	Atherton Collieries - Morpeth Town	2:1

Morpeth Town - Atherton Collieries: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide