Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 31

Date: 10 February 2024, Saturday


	Atherton Collieries		Gainsborough Trinity

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.4	2.1
	2.65	3.5	2.3
	2.63	3.81	2.3
	2.88	3.6	2.05
	2.71	3.48	2.28
	2.65	3.5	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.41)	3.55 ↑ (3.54)	2.22 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atherton Collieries
33.4%

Draw
25.7%

Gainsborough Trinity
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

25.5%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

25%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atherton Collieries has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Gainsborough Trinity has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atherton Collieries than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gainsborough Trinity than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Atherton Collieries - Gainsborough Trinity Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atherton Collieries won 0.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Gainsborough could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Gainsborough will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Atherton Collieries won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Atherton Collieries won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atherton Collieries
English NPL Premier Division
03.02.24	Atherton Collieries - Morpeth Town	4:3 ✺
27.01.24	Ashton United - Atherton Collieries	4:3 ✺
13.01.24	Atherton Collieries - Matlock Town	1:3 ✺
01.01.24	Lancaster City - Atherton Collieries	3:2 ✺
26.12.23	Atherton Collieries - Workington	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WLLLW
- Gainsborough Trinity
English NPL Premier Division
03.02.24	United of Manchester - Gainsborough Trinity	2:0 ✺
13.01.24	Gainsborough Trinity - Morpeth Town	0:2 ✺
06.01.24	Guiseley - Gainsborough Trinity	0:1 ✺
01.01.24	Gainsborough Trinity - Worksop Town	2:0 ✺
26.12.23	Stafford Rangers - Gainsborough Trinity	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
23.09.23	Gainsborough Trinity - Atherton Collieries	4:1
25.03.23	Atherton Collieries - Gainsborough Trinity	1:1
15.10.22	Gainsborough Trinity - Atherton Collieries	2:2
22.03.22	Atherton Collieries - Gainsborough Trinity	0:1
23.10.21	Gainsborough Trinity - Atherton Collieries	1:0
25.01.20	Atherton Collieries - Gainsborough Trinity	1:3
12.10.19	Gainsborough Trinity - Atherton Collieries	0:2

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