Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 18

Date: 10 February 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Bamber Bridge		Gainsborough Trinity

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.25	2.7
	2.35	3.2	2.68
	2.38	3.4	2.69
	2.43	3.55	2.66	Watch
	2.3	3.1	2.63
	2.35	3.25	2.63
	2.4	3.33	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.63)	3.3 ↓ (3.68)	2.66 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bamber Bridge
38.5%

Draw
27.5%

Gainsborough Trinity
34%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.3%

25.2%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

24.7%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bamber Bridge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Gainsborough Trinity has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gainsborough Trinity might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bamber Bridge than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gainsborough Trinity than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gainsborough Trinity could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Bamber Bridge - Gainsborough Trinity Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Bamber will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Gainsborough will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bamber (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Gainsborough (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bamber (votes: 1 - 50%). Gainsborough (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Butroid L. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Moore K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
64', Ashton O. 🟨,
77', 1 - 2, Tuntulwana S. ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 3, Helliwell J. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bamber won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Bamber won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:21. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Bamber won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.4:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Gainsborough	15	9	1	5	31:20	11	28
21	Bamber Bridge	14	2	4	8	17:34	-17	10

Last Results with these Odds

Gainsborough Trinity - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 39.49%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bamber Bridge
English NPL Premier Division
07.02.26	Bamber Bridge - Stockton Town	2:2 ✺
03.02.26	Guiseley - Bamber Bridge	0:2 ✺
31.01.26	Warrington Town - Bamber Bridge	0:2 ✺
24.01.26	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Bamber Bridge	0:2 ✺
17.01.26	Bamber Bridge - Hyde United	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TWWWW
- Gainsborough Trinity
English NPL Premier Division
07.02.26	Leek Town - Gainsborough Trinity	1:0 ✺
03.02.26	Ashton United - Gainsborough Trinity	0:3 ✺
31.01.26	Gainsborough Trinity - Hednesford Town	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Gainsborough Trinity - Morpeth Town	1:0 ✺
01.01.26	Gainsborough Trinity - Cleethorpes Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
29.03.25	Bamber Bridge - Gainsborough Trinity	1:0
08.03.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Bamber Bridge	2:1
30.03.24	Bamber Bridge - Gainsborough Trinity	1:3
26.08.23	Gainsborough Trinity - Bamber Bridge	1:1
25.04.23	Bamber Bridge - Gainsborough Trinity	2:1 penalties
11.02.23	Bamber Bridge - Gainsborough Trinity	1:1
22.10.22	Gainsborough Trinity - Bamber Bridge	1:2

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