Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 29

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday


	Gainsborough Trinity		Hednesford Town

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.05	2.58
	2.58	3.16	2.63
	2.59	3.28	2.65	Watch
	2.5	2.9	2.5
	2.51	3.1	2.56
	2.54	3.2	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.42)	3.12 ↓ (3.46)	2.59 ↓ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gainsborough Trinity
35.7%

Draw
29.1%

Hednesford Town
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

26.8%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

26.5%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gainsborough Trinity has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Hednesford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gainsborough Trinity than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hednesford Town than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Gainsborough Trinity - Hednesford Town Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Hednesford (1.87) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Hednesford (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Rose A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
81', 1 - 1, Brown H. ⚽,
90', Jackson A. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gainsborough won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Gainsborough may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Gainsborough has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Gainsborough won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Gainsborough won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Gainsborough	10	5	1	4	20:14	6	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gainsborough Trinity
English NPL Premier Division
17.01.26	Gainsborough Trinity - Morpeth Town	1:0 ✺
01.01.26	Gainsborough Trinity - Cleethorpes Town	2:0 ✺
26.12.25	Guiseley - Gainsborough Trinity	3:2 ✺
20.12.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Ilkeston	0:0 ✺
13.12.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Stocksbridge Park Steels	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLTT
- Hednesford Town
English NPL Premier Division
24.01.26	Hednesford Town - Leek Town	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Stockton Town - Hednesford Town	1:2 ✺
01.01.26	Rushall Olympic - Hednesford Town	1:0 ✺
27.12.25	Hednesford Town - United of Manchester	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Warrington Town - Hednesford Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
20.09.25	Hednesford Town - Gainsborough Trinity	2:0
English FA Cup
02.11.24	Hednesford Town - Gainsborough Trinity	4:5 penalties
English NPL Premier Division
19.04.19	Gainsborough Trinity - Hednesford Town	0:0
25.08.18	Hednesford Town - Gainsborough Trinity	1:2
English National League North
13.02.16	Hednesford Town - Gainsborough Trinity	0:2
12.12.15	Gainsborough Trinity - Hednesford Town	3:1
20.12.14	Hednesford Town - Gainsborough Trinity	2:1

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