Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL Premier Division - Round 27

Date: 18 February 2025, Tuesday


	Matlock Town		Ashton United

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.45	2.4
	2.42	3.73	2.49
	2.49	3.72	2.54	Watch
	2.5	3.25	2.4
	2.42	3.46	2.45
	2.55	3.45	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.61)	3.51 ↓ (3.56)	2.45 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matlock Town
36.7%

Draw
26%

Ashton United
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

25.6%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

25.8%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matlock Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Ashton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matlock Town than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ashton United than the current prediction. (+2%)

Matlock Town - Ashton United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Hardy J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
61', 0 - 2, Osei D. ⚽,
70', 1 - 2, Gibson M. (Pen),
78', 2 - 2, Stobbs J. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 16 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Matlock won 2.

Recent matches Matlock is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ashton is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Matlock won 5 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 24:28 (average 1.2:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Matlock won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16:7 (average 1.6:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matlock Town
English NPL Premier Division
15.02.25	Basford United - Matlock Town	2:1 ✺
08.02.25	Matlock Town - Hebburn Town	0:0 ✺
01.02.25	Warrington Rylands - Matlock Town	2:1 ✺
25.01.25	Matlock Town - United of Manchester	2:2 ✺
21.01.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Matlock Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LTLTT
- Ashton United
English NPL Premier Division
15.02.25	Ashton United - Lancaster City	2:1 ✺
08.02.25	Worksop Town - Ashton United	2:0 ✺
01.02.25	Ashton United - Ilkeston	2:1 ✺
28.01.25	Mickleover Sports - Ashton United	1:3 ✺
25.01.25	Prescot Cables - Ashton United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
17.09.24	Ashton United - Matlock Town	3:2
22.04.24	Matlock Town - Ashton United	5:1
17.10.23	Ashton United - Matlock Town	5:0
04.03.23	Matlock Town - Ashton United	1:1
27.09.22	Ashton United - Matlock Town	0:1
08.03.22	Matlock Town - Ashton United	1:1
14.08.21	Ashton United - Matlock Town	2:0

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