Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 14

Date: 13 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Bamber Bridge		Warrington Town

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.50	1.98
	3	3.55	1.95
	3.09	3.89	1.95
	3.13	4.04	1.99	Watch
	3.05	3.85	1.93
	3.09	3.7	1.94
	3.05	3.7	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.7)	3.75 ↑ (3.4)	1.96 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bamber Bridge
29.7%

Draw
24.2%

Warrington Town
46.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.5%

25.8%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

24.7%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bamber Bridge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Warrington Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bamber Bridge than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warrington Town than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Warrington Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bamber Bridge - Warrington Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Edwards C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+2', Cookson A. 🟥,

Preview

A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 20th in the Relegation and 10th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bamber won 2.

Recent results have been tough for Bamber (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Warrington has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Warrington may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Warrington holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Bamber has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:22 (averaging 1.3:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Bamber against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 9:9 goals (averaging 1.8:1.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Warrington	14	6	5	3	25:21	4	23
21	Bamber Bridge	14	2	4	8	17:34	-17	10

Outrights of English NPL Premier Division for now

Bamber Bridge: 0.76%

Last Results with these Odds

Warrington Town - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 41.75%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bamber Bridge
English NPL Premier Division
10.10.26	Whitby Town - Bamber Bridge	0:0 ✺
03.10.26	Bamber Bridge - Quorn	2:4 ✺
19.09.26	Stockton Town - Bamber Bridge	5:2 ✺
12.09.26	Bamber Bridge - Alfreton Town	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
05.09.26	Bamber Bridge - Trafford	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLLWL
- Warrington Town
English NPL Premier Division
10.10.26	Warrington Town - Lancaster City	2:2 ✺
06.10.26	Warrington Town - Workington	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
03.10.26	Marine - Warrington Town	2:0 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
12.09.26	United of Manchester - Warrington Town	4:1 ✺
01.09.26	Leek Town - Warrington Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
31.01.26	Warrington Town - Bamber Bridge	0:2
13.01.26	Bamber Bridge - Warrington Town	1:2
English FA Cup
30.08.25	Warrington Town - Bamber Bridge	0:3
English NPL Premier Division
01.05.23	Warrington Town - Bamber Bridge	1:0
04.03.23	Warrington Town - Bamber Bridge	1:0
27.09.22	Bamber Bridge - Warrington Town	3:2
01.01.22	Warrington Town - Bamber Bridge	4:1

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