Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 11

Date: 13 January 2026, Tuesday


	Bamber Bridge		Warrington Town

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.55	3.25
	1.97	3.61	3.32
	2.04	3.6	3.32	Watch
	1.85	3.6	3.2
	1.94	3.68	3.28
	1.9	3.8	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.03)	3.64 ↑ (3.47)	3.28 ↑ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bamber Bridge
47.1%

Draw
25.1%

Warrington Town
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

26.1%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

23.7%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bamber Bridge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Warrington Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bamber Bridge than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bamber Bridge that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warrington Town than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Bamber Bridge - Warrington Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bamber (votes: 1 - 50%). Warrington (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Users Predictions: Bamber Bridge will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Daly R. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 1 - 1, Poilly E. ⚽,
71', 1 - 2, Thompson M. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 18).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bamber won 2.

In recent matches, Bamber has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Warrington is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Bamber may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bamber is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Bamber won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:20. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Bamber won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 2:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Warrington	10	5	3	2	20:16	4	18
20	Bamber Bridge	11	2	3	6	16:31	-15	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bamber Bridge
English NPL Premier Division
26.12.25	Lancaster City - Bamber Bridge	1:3 ✺
20.12.25	Bamber Bridge - Warrington Rylands	3:1 ✺
13.12.25	Bamber Bridge - Ashton United	0:1 ✺
06.12.25	Workington - Bamber Bridge	1:3 ✺
29.11.25	Bamber Bridge - Prescot Cables	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WWLWW
- Warrington Town
English NPL Premier Division
01.01.26	Warrington Town - Leek Town	1:1 ✺
26.12.25	Warrington Rylands - Warrington Town	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Warrington Town - Hednesford Town	0:0 ✺
13.12.25	Rushall Olympic - Warrington Town	2:3 ✺
06.12.25	Warrington Town - Gainsborough Trinity	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
30.08.25	Warrington Town - Bamber Bridge	0:3
English NPL Premier Division
01.05.23	Warrington Town - Bamber Bridge	1:0
04.03.23	Warrington Town - Bamber Bridge	1:0
27.09.22	Bamber Bridge - Warrington Town	3:2
01.01.22	Warrington Town - Bamber Bridge	4:1
30.08.21	Bamber Bridge - Warrington Town	2:2
01.01.20	Bamber Bridge - Warrington Town	3:3

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