Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 9

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Broadhurst Park (Manchester)


	United of Manchester		Warrington Town

	1	X	2
	2.60	3.30	2.30
	2.75	3.30	2.12
	2.56	3.63	2.35
	2.64	3.69	2.39	Watch
	2.50	3.55	2.30
	2.54	3.48	2.32
	2.65	3.50	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (2.92)	3.49 ↓ (3.56)	2.29 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

United of Manchester
34.7%

Draw
25.9%

Warrington Town
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

25.5%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

25.3%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

United of Manchester has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Warrington Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for United of Manchester than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warrington Town than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

United of Manchester - Warrington Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Le Fondre A. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
49', 2 - 0, Grivosti M. ⚽,
51', 2 - 1, Edwards C. ⚽,
66', 3 - 1, Grewal R. ⚽,
81', 4 - 1, Watson N. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, United of Manchester won 2.

Recent form of United of Manchester has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Warrington is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

United of Manchester may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, United of Manchester won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 1.4:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, United of Manchester won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.9:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Warrington	10	5	3	2	20:16	4	18
22	FC United	10	1	2	7	12:20	-8	5

Last Results with these Odds

Warrington Town - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 43.36%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC United of Manchester
English FA Cup
05.09.26	Garforth - United of Manchester	1:5 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
31.08.26	United of Manchester - Avro	3:4 ✺
29.08.26	Redcar Athletic - United of Manchester	3:2 ✺
25.08.26	Bamber Bridge - United of Manchester	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	United of Manchester - Workington	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLLTL
- Warrington Town
English NPL Premier Division
01.09.26	Leek Town - Warrington Town	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Warrington Town - Emley	2:2 ✺
25.08.26	Warrington Town - Curzon Ashton	0:4 ✺
22.08.26	Whitby Town - Warrington Town	0:5 ✺
18.08.26	Ilkeston - Warrington Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
17.01.26	United of Manchester - Warrington Town	2:2
11.11.25	Warrington Town - United of Manchester	3:0
Club Friendly
18.07.23	United of Manchester - Warrington Town	2:1
English NPL Premier Division
28.01.23	United of Manchester - Warrington Town	1:1
24.09.22	Warrington Town - United of Manchester	0:1
15.02.22	United of Manchester - Warrington Town	0:1
14.08.21	Warrington Town - United of Manchester	2:0

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