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Current Win Probability
Warrington Town 44.1%
Draw 25.9%
Lancaster City 30%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.3%
25.3%
30.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.9%
25%
30%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Warrington Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Lancaster City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warrington Town than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
The ML Model estimate for Lancaster City aligns with the current prediction.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Warrington Town - Lancaster City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 9th and 12th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Warrington won 5.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Warrington may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Warrington is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Warrington has recorded 8 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 29:15 (averaging 2.2:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Warrington against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 18:7 goals (averaging 3:1.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
Warrington
10
5
3
2
20:16
4
18
12
Lancaster
12
5
1
6
16:24
-8
16
Last Results with these Odds
Warrington Town - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.28%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Lancaster City - the odds 3.06 are the expected chance of winning is 30.39%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
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