The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Warrington Town 44.8%
Draw 26%
Lancaster City 29.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
44.3%
25.3%
30.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.9%
25%
30%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Warrington Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Lancaster City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warrington Town than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lancaster City than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Warrington Town - Lancaster City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Thompson D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', 1 - 1, Elliott B. ⚽,
65', 2 - 1, Daly R. ⚽,
71', 2 - 2, Bailey C. ⚽,
Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9th and 12th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Warrington won 5.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Lancaster may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Warrington is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Warrington has recorded 8 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 29:15 (averaging 2.2:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Warrington against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 18:7 goals (averaging 3:1.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
Warrington
14
6
5
3
25:21
4
23
12
Lancaster
16
6
2
8
20:29
-9
20
Last Results with these Odds
Warrington Town - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.28%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Lancaster City - the odds 3.06 are the expected chance of winning is 30.39%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
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