Match Info

Chance Liga - Round 8

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Mestsky stadion v Ostrave-Vitkovicich (Ostrava)

Referee: Radina M. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1


	Baník Ostrava		Slovan Liberec

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.7	3	Watch
	2.1	3.5	3.2
	2.08	3.45	3.2
	2.16	3.6	3.38
	1.92	3.67	3.44	Watch
	2.13	3.56	3.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.94)	3.58 ↑ (3.53)	3.24 ↓ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baník Ostrava
45.1%

Draw
26.1%

Slovan Liberec
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

26%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

25.1%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baník Ostrava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Slovan Liberec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baník Ostrava than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slovan Liberec than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	37.5%	0%

Baník Ostrava - Slovan Liberec Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Baník Ostrava will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Baník Ostrava: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Baník Ostrava (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Holec D. (G) 66. Rusnak M. 17. Frydrych M. (C) 6. Pojezny K. 95. Holzer D. 80. Kricfalusi O. 8. Frydek Ch. 18. Planka D. 9. Buchta D. 22. Zlatohlavek T. 20. Plavsic S.	40. Koubek T. (G) 18. Kozeluh J. 32. Gabriel S. 16. N'Guessan A. 3. Mikula J. 5. Hodous P. 26. Masopust L. (C) 19. Hlavaty M. 20. Mahmic E. 7. Soliu A. 9. Masek L.
Substitutes
1. Budinsky V. (G) 15. Kpozo P. 11. Latal D. 19. Lischka D. 42. Micek J. 31. Munksgaard A. 55. Musak A. 25. Owusu D. 29. Pira J. 44. Sehic E. 4. Tiehi C.	30. Diakite T. 8. Icha M. 17. Julis P. 27. Kayondo A. 1. Krajcirik I. (G) 99. Krollis R. 21. Letenay L. 33. Pesl L. (G) 2. Plechaty D. 11. Spatenka F. 12. Stransky V.
Coaches
Hapal P.	Kovac R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Masek L. ⚽,
19', 0 - 2, Mahmic E. ⚽, Hodous P. (A),
27', Pojezny K. 🟨,
42', Masek L. 🟨,
43', Mahmic E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Buchta D. ↓, Owusu D. ↑,
46', Zlatohlavek T. ↓, Pira J. ↑,
60', Mikula J. 🟨,
61', Mahmic E. ↓, Stransky V. ↑,
62', Masek L. ↓, Krollis R. ↑,
62', Hodous P. ↓, Spatenka F. ↑,
65', Kozeluh J. 🟨,
67', Planka D. ↓, Musak A. ↑,
67', Frydek Ch. ↓, Latal D. ↑,
76', Soliu A. ↓, Julis P. ↑,
79', Owusu D. 🟨,
80', Masopust L. ↓, Icha M. ↑,
85', Rusnak M. ↓, Munksgaard A. ↑,
90+2', Owusu D. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baník Ostrava won 2.

Baník Ostrava is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Slovan Liberec's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Baník Ostrava might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Baník Ostrava: Kubala F. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Slovan Liberec: Knapik J. (Knee Injury) Krajcirik I. (Inactive) Ryzek M. (Health problems) Zyba Q. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Baník Ostrava: Almasi L. (Inactive) Kohut M. (Inactive) Kornezos G. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Baník Ostrava won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:18. (average 0.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Baník Ostrava won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baník Ostrava
Czech 1 Liga
31.08.25	Sigma Olomouc - Baník Ostrava	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.08.25	Baník Ostrava - Celje	0:2 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
24.08.25	Baník Ostrava - Slovácko	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.08.25	Celje - Baník Ostrava	1:0 ✺
14.08.25	Austria Wien - Baník Ostrava	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWLT
- Slovan Liberec
Czech 1 Liga
31.08.25	Slovan Liberec - Viktoria Plzeň	1:1 ✺
Czech Cup
27.08.25	Brandýs nad Labem - Slovan Liberec	0:6 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
23.08.25	Zlín - Slovan Liberec	1:0 ✺
17.08.25	Slovan Liberec - Sparta Prague	0:2 ✺
09.08.25	Slovan Liberec - Dukla Prague	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Czech 1 Liga
01.02.25	Slovan Liberec - Baník Ostrava	0:1
25.08.24	Baník Ostrava - Slovan Liberec	2:0
28.04.24	Baník Ostrava - Slovan Liberec	2:2
23.07.23	Slovan Liberec - Baník Ostrava	3:1
01.04.23	Baník Ostrava - Slovan Liberec	0:0
09.10.22	Slovan Liberec - Baník Ostrava	0:0
05.03.22	Baník Ostrava - Slovan Liberec	1:1

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