Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Final

Date: 28 August 2025, Thursday

Location: Mestsky stadion v Ostrave-Vitkovicich (Ostrava)

Referee: Sidiropoulos A. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Slovakia	Sport TV2


	Baník Ostrava		Celje

	1	X	2
	1.85	4.2	3.2	Watch
	1.85	3.7	3.4	Watch
	1.92	3.7	3.35	Watch
	1.98	3.95	3.33
	2.64	4.61	2.11	Watch
	1.91	3.5	3.7	Watch
	2.03	3.95	3.4	Watch
	2.02	3.33	3.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.04)	3.87 ↑ (3.28)	3.22 ↓ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baník Ostrava
46.5%

Draw
24.3%

Celje
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

28.5%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baník Ostrava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Celje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baník Ostrava than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celje than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
67.4%	16.3%	16.3%

Baník Ostrava - Celje Predictions

Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Baník Ostrava will win (votes: 29 - 69%). Celje will win (votes: 7 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Baník Ostrava: 55% – 83%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

TQ, OT - Baník Ostrava (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Baník Ostrava (2.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Baník Ostrava (3.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1 - Baník Ostrava (3.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Baník Ostrava will win (16 of 21 users predict this - 76.19%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 27 Selected Experts predict this event. Baník Ostrava (votes: 22 - 81.5%). Celje (votes: 3 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 7.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Holec D. (G) 66. Rusnak M. 17. Frydrych M. (C) 6. Pojezny K. 15. Kpozo P. 5. Boula J. 12. Rigo T. 9. Buchta D. 8. Frydek Ch. 95. Holzer D. 33. Prekop E.	1. Leban Z. (G) 2. Juanjo Nieto 23. Karnicnik Z. (C) 3. Vuklisevic D. 6. Tutyskinas A. 4. Hrka D. 8. Kvesic M. 11. Avdyli M. 20. Iosifov N. 10. Sturm D. 9. Kovacevic F.
Substitutes
1. Budinsky V. (G) 37. Chalus M. 11. Latal D. 19. Lischka D. 31. Munksgaard A. 25. Owusu D. 29. Pira J. 20. Plavsic S. 44. Sehic E. 10. Sin M. 4. Tiehi C. 22. Zlatohlavek T.	44. Bejger L. 42. Boben M. 14. Chidi A. 7. Jevsenak F. 12. Kolar L. (G) 17. Kotnik A. 99. Poplatnik M. 16. Vidovic I. 5. Vodeb G. 25. Zorko T. (G)
Coaches
Hapal P.	Riera A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Iosifov N. ⚽, Avdyli M. (A),
21', 0 - 2, Karnicnik Z. ⚽, Sturm D. (A),
26', Kotnik A. 🟨,
36', Riera A. 🟨,
36', Kpozo P. ↓, Plavsic S. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kovacevic F. ↓, Poplatnik M. ↑,
46', Avdyli M. ↓, Kotnik A. ↑,
56', Hapal P. 🟨,
57', Tutyskinas A. 🟨,
67', Rusnak M. ↓, Owusu D. ↑,
67', Frydek Ch. ↓, Sin M. ↑,
71', Frydrych M. 🟨,
71', Holec D. 🟨,
71', Iosifov N. 🟨,
73', Poplatnik M. 🟨,
74', Juanjo Nieto 🟨,
75', Leban Z. 🟨,
76', Prekop E. ↓, Pira J. ↑,
78', Vuklisevic D. ↓, Boben M. ↑,
85', Hrka D. ↓, Jevsenak F. ↑,
87', Pira J. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.

Baník Ostrava has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Celje is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Baník Ostrava may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Baník Ostrava will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Baník Ostrava won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Baník Ostrava - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 44.57%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baník Ostrava
Czech 1 Liga
24.08.25	Baník Ostrava - Slovácko	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.08.25	Celje - Baník Ostrava	1:0 ✺
14.08.25	Austria Wien - Baník Ostrava	1:1 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
10.08.25	Baník Ostrava - Karviná	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.25	Baník Ostrava - Austria Wien	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLTLW
- NK Celje
Slovenian PrvaLiga
24.08.25	NK Bravo - Celje	0:5 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.08.25	Celje - Baník Ostrava	1:0 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
17.08.25	Aluminij Kidricevo - Celje	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
14.08.25	Celje - Lugano	2:4 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
10.08.25	Celje - Mura	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
21.08.25	Celje - Baník Ostrava	1:0

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