Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Final

Date: 21 August 2025, Thursday

Location: Stadion Z'dezele (Celje)

Referee: Masiyev E. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	CT sport
Slovenia	Sport TV1


	Celje		Baník Ostrava

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.8	2.8	Watch
	2	3.7	3.1	Watch
	2.08	3.95	2.88	Watch
	2.2	3.84	2.87
	2.01	3.44	3.36	Watch
	2.15	3.94	3.06	Watch
	2.02	3.5	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (2.01)	3.74 ↑ (3.44)	3.08 ↓ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celje
44.7%

Draw
25%

Baník Ostrava
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

26.8%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

25.9%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Baník Ostrava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celje than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baník Ostrava than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.7%	26.7%	16.7%

Celje - Baník Ostrava Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Celje will win (votes: 17 - 56.7%). Baník Ostrava will win (votes: 5 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Celje: 39% – 74.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Celje (votes: 6 - 60%). Baník Ostrava (votes: 1 - 10%). Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

TQ, OT - Celje (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Baník Ostrava (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Celje (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Baník Ostrava (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leban Z. (G) 2. Juanjo Nieto 23. Karnicnik Z. (C) 3. Vuklisevic D. 6. Tutyskinas A. 19. Zabukovnik M. 8. Kvesic M. 11. Avdyli M. 10. Sturm D. 20. Iosifov N. 99. Poplatnik M.	30. Holec D. (G) 17. Frydrych M. (C) 37. Chalus M. 6. Pojezny K. 9. Buchta D. 5. Boula J. 12. Rigo T. 15. Kpozo P. 10. Sin M. 21. Kohut M. 33. Prekop E.
Substitutes
44. Bejger L. 42. Boben M. 14. Chidi A. 13. Daniel P. 4. Hrka D. 7. Jevsenak F. 12. Kolar L. (G) 9. Kovacevic F. 16. Vidovic I. 5. Vodeb G.	77. Almasi L. 1. Budinsky V. (G) 8. Frydek Ch. 95. Holzer D. 11. Latal D. 19. Lischka D. 31. Munksgaard A. 25. Owusu D. 20. Plavsic S. 66. Rusnak M. 4. Tiehi C. 22. Zlatohlavek T.
Coaches
Riera A.	Hapal P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Poplatnik M. ⚽, Iosifov N. (A),
11', Kvesic M. 🟨,
29', Zabukovnik M. ↓, Hrka D. ↑,
30', Riera A. 🟨,
45+5', Kpozo P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kpozo P. ↓, Holzer D. ↑,
46', Kohut M. ↓, Plavsic S. ↑,
46', Chalus M. ↓, Munksgaard A. ↑,
46', Poplatnik M. 🟨,
60', Munksgaard A. 🟨,
67', Sin M. ↓, Rusnak M. ↑,
68', Avdyli M. ↓, Jevsenak F. ↑,
75', Pojezny K. 🟨,
79', Poplatnik M. ↓, Chidi A. ↑,
88', Prekop E. ↓, Almasi L. ↑,
90+3', Leban Z. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Celje is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Baník Ostrava has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Celje may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Celje is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Celje
Slovenian PrvaLiga
17.08.25	Aluminij Kidricevo - Celje	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
14.08.25	Celje - Lugano	2:4 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
10.08.25	Celje - Mura	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.25	Lugano - Celje	0:5 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
03.08.25	Olimpija Ljubljana - Celje	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 WLWWW
- Baník Ostrava
UEFA Europa Conference League
14.08.25	Austria Wien - Baník Ostrava	1:1 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
10.08.25	Baník Ostrava - Karviná	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.25	Baník Ostrava - Austria Wien	4:3 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
03.08.25	Dukla Prague - Baník Ostrava	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
31.07.25	Legia Warsaw - Baník Ostrava	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TLWTL

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