Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 July 2024, Thursday

Location: Mestsky stadion v Ostrave-Vitkovicich (Ostrava)

Referee: Bejtullahu M. (Kos)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Sporttotal.cz


	Baník Ostrava		Urartu Yerevan

	1	X	2
	1.27	5.75	8	Watch
	1.27	5.5	8.75
	1.25	5.5	11
	1.27	5.22	9.9
	1.29	5.4	9.41	Watch
	1.29	4.8	8.5
	1.28	5.45	10	Watch
	1.3	5.4	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.52)	5.38 ↑ (3.9)	9.57 ↑ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baník Ostrava
72.9%

Draw
17.3%

Urartu Yerevan
9.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

23.7%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baník Ostrava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Baník Ostrava's performance.

Urartu Yerevan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Urartu Yerevan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Baník Ostrava - Urartu Yerevan Predictions

Users Predictions: Baník Ostrava will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Markovic J. (G) 24. Juroska J. 17. Frydrych M. 7. Pojezny K. 15. Kpozo P. 5. Boula J. 9. Buchta D. 12. Rigo T. 28. Kubala F. 32. Ewerton (C) 33. Prekop E.	91. Ghazaryan H. (G) 55. Simonyan E. 4. Ghazaryan A. 3. Piloyan E. 16. Isaac B. 8. Aghasaryan N. 88. Margaryan Z. (C) 34. Abou A. 14. Polyarus A. 22. Mirzoyan M. 77. Movsesyan E.
Substitutes
8. Adediran Q. 2. Aririerisim E. 37. Chalus M. 6. Fukala M. 13. Grygar S. 30. Holec D. (G) 95. Holzer D. 21. Klima J. 66. Rusnak M. 10. Sin M. 20. Tanko A.	99. Ayvazyan K. 6. Gilmore L. 53. Harutyunyan D. 10. Melkonyan K. 92. Mishiev A. (G) 33. Mkrtchyan A. 7. Mkrtchyan S. 9. Sabua L. 11. Tarakhchyan G.
Coaches
Hapal P.	Gunko D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Ewerton ⚽, Prekop E. (A),
22', 2 - 0, Boula J. ⚽, Ewerton (A),
26', 3 - 0, Buchta D. ⚽, Ewerton (A),
29', Aghasaryan N. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
62', 4 - 0, Prekop E. ⚽, Kpozo P. (A),
64', Abou A. ↓, Gilmore L. ↑,
64', Movsesyan E. ↓, Tarakhchyan G. ↑,
64', Polyarus A. ↓, Harutyunyan D. ↑,
66', Rigo T. ↓, Sin M. ↑,
66', Kubala F. ↓, Tanko A. ↑,
66', Prekop E. ↓, Klima J. ↑,
73', Buchta D. ↓, Rusnak M. ↑,
73', Ewerton ↓, Holzer D. ↑,
78', Margaryan Z. 🟥,
81', Simonyan E. 🟨,
82', 5 - 0, Klima J. (Pen),
83', Harutyunyan D. ↓, Ayvazyan K. ↑,
87', Isaac B. ↓, Melkonyan K. ↑,
89', Sin M. 🟨,
90+4', 5 - 1, Tarakhchyan G. ⚽, Mirzoyan M. (A),

Preview

1st leg.

Baník Ostrava is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Baník Ostrava is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baník Ostrava
Czech 1 Liga
20.07.24	Bohemians 1905 - Baník Ostrava	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
13.07.24	Baník Ostrava - Dukla Banská Bystrica	3:1 ✺
06.07.24	Widzew Łódź - Baník Ostrava	2:1 ✺
03.07.24	Baník Ostrava - Dundee	0:3 ✺
03.07.24	Baník Ostrava - Lech Poznań	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLLL
- FC Urartu Yerevan
UEFA Europa Conference League
18.07.24	Urartu Yerevan - Tallinna Kalev	2:0 ✺
11.07.24	Tallinna Kalev - Urartu Yerevan	1:2 ✺
Armenian Premier League
24.05.24	Urartu Yerevan - Ararat	1:1 ✺
20.05.24	Van - Urartu Yerevan	1:1 ✺
16.05.24	Urartu Yerevan - Alashkert	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWTTW

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