Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 July 2024, Thursday

Location: Kadrioru Staadion (Tallinn)

Referee: Kubryak D. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Estonia	Soccernet TV


	Tallinna Kalev		Urartu Yerevan

	1	X	2
	4.5	4.5	1.48	Watch
	5.5	4.1	1.51
	5.5	4.2	1.5	Watch
	6	4.3	1.54
	5.76	4.32	1.52	Watch
	6	4	1.44
	6.05	4.2	1.51	Watch
	5.6	4.3	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.61 ↑ (4.91)	4.24 ↓ (4.59)	1.5 ↓ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tallinna Kalev
16.5%

Draw
21.8%

Urartu Yerevan
61.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19%

20.4%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tallinna Kalev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Urartu Yerevan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.7%	6.7%	46.7%

Tallinna Kalev - Urartu Yerevan Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Kalev will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Urartu will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kalev: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Forsman O. (G) 22. Sotsugov D. 11. Teevali T. (C) 15. Klavan R. 23. Teniste T. 14. Svedovski A. 26. Kaljumae M. 17. Smirnov R. 18. Mihhailov V. 12. Purje A. 10. Jurisoo T.	91. Ghazaryan H. (G) 88. Margaryan Z. (C) 55. Simonyan E. 4. Ghazaryan A. 16. Isaac B. 99. Ayvazyan K. 6. Gilmore L. 8. Aghasaryan N. 77. Movsesyan E. 22. Mirzoyan M. 14. Polyarus A.
Substitutes
66. Kajari E. 7. Kovaltsuk A. 4. Laur K. 89. Liiker S. (G) 1. Pank G. 30. Poder J. 37. Shevyakov D. 8. Sinilaid S. 9. Suutari O. 19. Tomberg M.	34. Abou A. 53. Harutyunyan D. 10. Melkonyan K. 33. Mkrtchyan A. 3. Piloyan E. 11. Tarakhchyan G. 1. Umreyan M. (G)
Coaches
Meijel D.	Gunko D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Teevali T. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Movsesyan E. ⚽,
39', Gilmore L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gilmore L. ↓, Abou A. ↑,
46', Teniste T. ↓, Shevyakov D. ↑,
62', Svedovski A. ↓, Sinilaid S. ↑,
66', Polyarus A. ↓, Tarakhchyan G. ↑,
66', Ayvazyan K. ↓, Melkonyan K. ↑,
72', Jurisoo T. ↓, Kovaltsuk A. ↑,
72', Smirnov R. ↓, Kajari E. ↑,
77', 1 - 2, Movsesyan E. ⚽,
78', Mirzoyan M. ↓, Harutyunyan D. ↑,
79', Klavan R. 🟨,
83', Sinilaid S. 🟨,
90', Purje A. ↓, Laur K. ↑,
90+1', Aghasaryan N. 🟨,
90+3', Movsesyan E. ↓, Piloyan E. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Kalev is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Urartu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Urartu is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tallinna Kalev
Estonian Meistriliiga
03.07.24	Tallinna Kalev - Kuressaare	2:2 ✺
28.06.24	Pärnu Vaprus - Tallinna Kalev	0:1 ✺
18.06.24	Nõmme Kalju - Tallinna Kalev	2:0 ✺
15.06.24	Tallinna Kalev - Paide LM	2:5 ✺
02.06.24	Tammeka - Tallinna Kalev	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TWLLL
- FC Urartu Yerevan
Armenian Premier League
24.05.24	Urartu Yerevan - Ararat	1:1 ✺
20.05.24	Van - Urartu Yerevan	1:1 ✺
16.05.24	Urartu Yerevan - Alashkert	6:1 ✺
Armenian Cup
12.05.24	Ararat-Armenia - Urartu Yerevan	2:1 penalties ✺
Armenian Premier League
03.05.24	Urartu Yerevan - Shirak Gyumri	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 TTWLT

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