Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 July 2024, Thursday

Location: Urartu Stadium (Yerevan)

Referee: Ilic P. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Armenia	1TV
Estonia	Soccernet TV


	Urartu Yerevan		Tallinna Kalev

	1	X	2
	1.1	10	15	Watch
	1.1	9.25	19
	1.08	8.5	26	Watch
	1.09	9.8	28.65
	1.11	7.77	25.42	Watch
	1.08	8	21
	1.08	9.9	29	Watch
	1.1	8.6	22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.09 ↓ (1.2)	8.98 ↑ (5.97)	23.26 ↑ (12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Urartu Yerevan
85.6%

Draw
10.4%

Tallinna Kalev
4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

76.9%

15.4%

7.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Urartu Yerevan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Urartu Yerevan's performance.

Tallinna Kalev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.7%	33.3%	20%

Urartu Yerevan - Tallinna Kalev Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Urartu will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Kalev will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Urartu: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
91. Ghazaryan H. (G) 34. Abou A. 8. Aghasaryan N. 99. Ayvazyan K. 4. Ghazaryan A. 16. Isaac B. 88. Margaryan Z. (C) 22. Mirzoyan M. 77. Movsesyan E. 14. Polyarus A. 55. Simonyan E.	88. Forsman O. (G) 10. Jurisoo T. 16. Kaljumae M. 66. Laur K. 18. Mihhailov V. 12. Purje A. 17. Smirnov R. 77. Sotsugov D. 11. Teevali T. (C) 15. Teniste T. 8. Tomberg M.
Substitutes
6. Gilmore L. 53. Harutyunyan D. 85. Ignatjev I. 52. Israelyan A. 10. Melkonyan K. 92. Mishiev A. (G) 33. Mkrtchyan A. 7. Mkrtchyan S. 3. Piloyan E. 90. Polyakov O. 9. Sabua L. 11. Tarakhchyan G.	4. Kajari E. 1. Liiker S. (G) 6. Shevyakov D. 7. Sinilaid S. 9. Suutari O. 14. Svedovski A.
Coaches
Gunko D.	Meijel D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Mirzoyan M. ⚽, Movsesyan E. (A),
24', Isaac B. 🟨,
29', Kaljumae M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Polyarus A. ↓, Ignatjev I. ↑,
49', 2 - 0, Mirzoyan M. ⚽, Ignatjev I. (A),
56', Mihhailov V. ↓, Svedovski A. ↑,
56', Teniste T. ↓, Shevyakov D. ↑,
57', Simonyan E. 🟨,
67', Movsesyan E. ↓, Harutyunyan D. ↑,
67', Mirzoyan M. ↓, Tarakhchyan G. ↑,
69', Jurisoo T. ↓, Suutari O. ↑,
69', Smirnov R. ↓, Sinilaid S. ↑,
73', Abou A. ↓, Gilmore L. ↑,
79', Purje A. ↓, Kajari E. ↑,
84', Aghasaryan N. ↓, Mkrtchyan S. ↑,
88', Sotsugov D. 🟨,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-1.

Kalev is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Urartu is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Urartu won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Urartu Yerevan
UEFA Europa Conference League
11.07.24	Tallinna Kalev - Urartu Yerevan	1:2 ✺
Armenian Premier League
24.05.24	Urartu Yerevan - Ararat	1:1 ✺
20.05.24	Van - Urartu Yerevan	1:1 ✺
16.05.24	Urartu Yerevan - Alashkert	6:1 ✺
Armenian Cup
12.05.24	Ararat-Armenia - Urartu Yerevan	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WTTWL
- Tallinna Kalev
UEFA Europa Conference League
11.07.24	Tallinna Kalev - Urartu Yerevan	1:2 ✺
Estonian Meistriliiga
03.07.24	Tallinna Kalev - Kuressaare	2:2 ✺
28.06.24	Pärnu Vaprus - Tallinna Kalev	0:1 ✺
18.06.24	Nõmme Kalju - Tallinna Kalev	2:0 ✺
15.06.24	Tallinna Kalev - Paide LM	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
11.07.24	Tallinna Kalev - Urartu Yerevan	1:2

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