Match Info

WORLD: Club Friendly

Date: 3 July 2024, Wednesday


	Baník Ostrava		Lech Poznań

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.75	3.6	2.3	Watch
	2.7	3.46	2.27
	2.66	3.67	2.28	Watch
	2.6	3.5	2.25
	2.79	3.65	2.4	Watch
	2.7	3.55	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.52)	3.57 ↓ (3.65)	2.31 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baník Ostrava
34.2%

Draw
25.8%

Lech Poznań
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

25.7%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

26.5%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baník Ostrava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baník Ostrava than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Baník Ostrava - Lech Poznań Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Markovic J. (G) 17. Frydrych M. 13. Grygar S. 24. Juroska J. 21. Klima J. 15. Kpozo P. 18. Nogha R. 7. Pojezny K. 33. Prekop E. 11. Sehic E. 14. Sudak R.	41. Mrozek B. (G) 5. Andersson E. 15. Gurgul M. 21. Hotic D. 6. Karlstrom J. 10. Marchwinski F. 16. Milic A. 2. Pereira J. 7. Sousa A. 17. Szymczak F. (C) 11. Velde K.
Substitutes
. Fukala M. 28. Kubala F. 30. Letacek J. (G) 4. Mekota P. 20. Tanko A.	. Brzyski I. . Gmur T. . Medrala M. (G) . Stankiewicz I. 54. Wilak F. . Wolowiec K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Sousa A. 🟨,
17', Juroska J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Prekop E. ↓, Tanko A. ↑,
46', Juroska J. ↓, Fukala M. ↑,
46', Mrozek B. ↓, Bednarek F. ↑,
46', Pereira J. ↓, Czerwinski A. ↑,
46', Gurgul M. ↓, Monka W. ↑,
46', Milic A. ↓, Pingot M. ↑,
46', Andersson E. ↓, Borowski F. ↑,
46', Hotic D. ↓, Ba Loua A. ↑,
46', Sousa A. ↓, Antczak J. ↑,
46', Marchwinski F. ↓, Gholizadeh A. ↑,
46', Szymczak F. ↓, Ishak M. ↑,
46', Velde K. ↓, Kozubal A. ↑,
46', Karlstrom J. ↓, Murawski R. ↑,
51', 0 - 1, Antczak J. ⚽,
60', Sudak R. ↓, Juroska J. ↑,
69', 🟨,
71', 0 - 2, Ishak M. ⚽,

Preview

Neutral location.

Recent matches Baník Ostrava is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lech has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Baník Ostrava could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Baník Ostrava won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Baník Ostrava won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baník Ostrava
Club Friendly
29.06.24	Baník Ostrava - Pogoń Szczecin	1:2 ✺
26.06.24	Baník Ostrava - Žilina	1:1 ✺
23.06.24	Artis Brno - Baník Ostrava	2:2 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
26.05.24	Baník Ostrava - Slovácko	6:0 ✺
18.05.24	Viktoria Plzeň - Baník Ostrava	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTTWT
- Lech Poznań
Club Friendly
29.06.24	Piast Gliwice - Lech Poznań	1:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
25.05.24	Lech Poznań - Korona Kielce	1:2 ✺
19.05.24	Widzew Łódź - Lech Poznań	1:1 ✺
12.05.24	Lech Poznań - Legia Warsaw	1:2 ✺
03.05.24	Ruch Chorzów - Lech Poznań	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
08.07.23	Lech Poznań - Baník Ostrava	1:1
15.01.22	Baník Ostrava - Lech Poznań	2:4

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