Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 4

Date: 19 August 2023, Saturday


	Banbury United		Chester

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.6	1.91
	3.6	3.3	1.82
	3.5	3.55	1.8
	3.69	3.68	1.92
	3.74	3.52	1.91
	3.45	3.45	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↑ (2.93)	3.52 ↑ (3.51)	1.88 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Banbury United
25.6%

Draw
25.9%

Chester
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

26.3%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

25.5%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Banbury United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Banbury United's form might have worsened.

Chester has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chester's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Banbury United than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chester than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	0%	91.7%

Banbury United - Chester Predictions

Users Predictions: Chester will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Recent matches Banbury is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chester is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chester will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Banbury won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Banbury won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Banbury United
English National League North
15.08.23	Gloucester City - Banbury United	0:2 ✺
12.08.23	Scarborough Athletic - Banbury United	3:0 ✺
05.08.23	Banbury United - Spennymoor Town	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Banbury United - Maidenhead United	1:0 ✺
25.07.23	Slough Town - Banbury United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLLWL
- Chester City
English National League North
15.08.23	Chester - Chorley	0:0 ✺
12.08.23	Chester - King`s Lynn Town	3:0 ✺
05.08.23	Bishops Stortford - Chester	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.23	Bala Town - Chester	1:0 ✺
18.07.23	Chester - Stockport County	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
04.03.23	Chester - Banbury United	4:2
08.11.22	Banbury United - Chester	2:2

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