Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 14

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday


	Bury Town		Banbury United

	1	X	2
	2.42	3.45	2.42
	2.45	3.83	2.45	Watch
	2.44	3.5	2.42
	2.8	3.4	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.45)	3.55 ↓ (3.83)	2.39 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bury Town
36.1%

Draw
25.7%

Banbury United
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

24.2%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

23.7%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Banbury United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bury Town than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Banbury United than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Bury Town - Banbury United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Ferguson C. ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, Quantrell G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
83', 2 - 1, Hughes T. ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 16 and 18)

Bury Town has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Banbury is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Bury Town may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Bury Town has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bury Town won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Banbury United - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.88%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bury Town
English Southern League Central Division
22.10.25	Needham Market - Bury Town	4:2 ✺
18.10.25	Quorn - Bury Town	2:0 ✺
14.10.25	Bury Town - St Ives Town	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	Bromsgrove Sporting - Bury Town	2:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Sudbury Town - Bury Town	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWTL
- Banbury United
English FA Trophy
26.10.25	Bracknell Town - Banbury United	1:0 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
21.10.25	Banbury United - Kettering Town	0:2 ✺
18.10.25	Banbury United - Halesowen Town	0:3 ✺
English FA Cup
14.10.25	St Albans City - Banbury United	1:0 ET ✺
11.10.25	Banbury United - St Albans City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
24.10.20	Banbury United - Bury Town	2:1

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