Match Info

ENGLAND: FA TROPHY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 31 January 2023, Tuesday


	Banbury United		Coalville Town

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	2.87
	2.05	3.5	2.9
	2.09	3.35	3
	2.07	3.5	3.31
	2.1	3.3	3
	2.1	3.42	3.26
	2.11	3.4	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (2.01)	3.41 ↓ (3.56)	3.06 ↓ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Banbury United
43.6%

Draw
26.6%

Coalville Town
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

25.8%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

26.5%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Banbury United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Coalville Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Banbury United than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coalville Town than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Banbury United - Coalville Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Banbury will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Coalville will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Banbury: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Banbury won 1.

Recent matches Banbury is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Coalville is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Banbury will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Banbury won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Banbury won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Banbury United
English National League North
28.01.23	Hereford - Banbury United	2:3 ✺
07.01.23	Fylde - Banbury United	5:0 ✺
01.01.23	Banbury United - Brackley Town	0:1 ✺
26.12.22	Brackley Town - Banbury United	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
20.12.22	Banbury United - Bognor Regis Town	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLLTW
- Coalville Town
English Southern League Central Division
28.01.23	Ilkeston - Coalville Town	1:2 ✺
07.01.23	Coalville Town - Tamworth	1:0 ✺
02.01.23	Basford United - Coalville Town	0:2 ✺
27.12.22	Coalville Town - Barwell	3:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
20.12.22	Chesterfield - Coalville Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
11.12.21	Banbury United - Coalville Town	3:1
23.11.21	Coalville Town - Banbury United	1:1
17.10.20	Coalville Town - Banbury United	6:1
14.12.19	Coalville Town - Banbury United	1:1
28.09.19	Banbury United - Coalville Town	1:1
19.01.19	Banbury United - Coalville Town	4:2
17.11.18	Coalville Town - Banbury United	1:1

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