Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 19

Date: 14 November 2023, Tuesday


	Hereford		Banbury United

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.4	4
	1.82	3.2	3.8
	1.87	3.4	4	Watch
	1.89	3.41	4.13
	1.89	3.41	4.14
	1.83	3.3	3.75
	1.87	3.42	3.94
	1.91	3.25	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.12)	3.35 ↑ (3.3)	3.93 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hereford
49.2%

Draw
27.4%

Banbury United
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

27.5%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

27%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hereford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hereford's performance.

Banbury United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Banbury United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hereford than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hereford that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Banbury United than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Banbury United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hereford - Banbury United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 17 and 11).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Hereford could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Banbury have a series of guest games.

Hereford will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Hereford won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Hereford won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hereford FC
English National League North
11.11.23	Boston United - Hereford	1:0 ✺
07.11.23	Hereford - Brackley Town	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Hereford - Gillingham	0:2 ✺
English National League North
28.10.23	Chorley - Hereford	1:2 ✺
24.10.23	Alfreton Town - Hereford	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWLWL
- Banbury United
English National League North
11.11.23	Tamworth - Banbury United	1:2 ✺
07.11.23	Banbury United - Scunthorpe United	0:2 ✺
28.10.23	Southport - Banbury United	0:1 ✺
24.10.23	Boston United - Banbury United	1:2 ✺
14.10.23	Peterborough Sports - Banbury United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.1 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
28.01.23	Hereford - Banbury United	2:3
27.08.22	Banbury United - Hereford	3:1
English Southern Premier League
27.01.18	Hereford - Banbury United	3:0
10.10.17	Banbury United - Hereford	0:1

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