Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 21

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday


	Banbury United		Curzon Ashton

	1	X	2
	3	3.2	2.15
	2.9	3.25	2.1
	3.1	3.4	2.15
	3.08	3.33	2.27
	3.08	3.33	2.27
	2.7	3.25	2.3
	3.02	3.35	2.21
	3.05	3.25	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.65)	3.3 ↓ (3.36)	2.2 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Banbury United
30.6%

Draw
27.8%

Curzon Ashton
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

27.5%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

27.4%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Banbury United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Curzon Ashton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Banbury United than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Curzon Ashton than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Banbury United - Curzon Ashton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 16 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Banbury is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Curzon Ashton is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Curzon Ashton will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Banbury won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Banbury won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Banbury United
English National League North
21.11.23	Banbury United - Bishops Stortford	2:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Banbury United - Nuneaton Town	2:4 ✺
English National League North
14.11.23	Hereford - Banbury United	4:1 ✺
11.11.23	Tamworth - Banbury United	1:2 ✺
07.11.23	Banbury United - Scunthorpe United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TLLWL
- Curzon Ashton
English National League North
21.11.23	South Shields - Curzon Ashton	0:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Curzon Ashton - Matlock Town	2:0 ✺
English National League North
14.11.23	Curzon Ashton - Blyth Spartans	3:1 ✺
11.11.23	Curzon Ashton - Bishops Stortford	1:0 ✺
07.11.23	Spennymoor Town - Curzon Ashton	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
21.03.23	Banbury United - Curzon Ashton	0:0
06.08.22	Curzon Ashton - Banbury United	1:2

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