Match Info

ENGLAND: FA TROPHY - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 18 November 2023, Saturday


	Curzon Ashton		Matlock Town

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.75	3.9
	1.66	4	4.5
	1.65	4.02	4.26
	1.65	4.03	4.26
	1.67	4	3.75
	1.65	3.92	4.55
	1.66	3.9	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.59)	3.95 ↓ (4)	4.19 ↓ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Curzon Ashton
55%

Draw
23.2%

Matlock Town
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

22.6%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

24.3%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Curzon Ashton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Matlock Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Curzon Ashton than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Curzon Ashton, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matlock Town than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Curzon Ashton - Matlock Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Recent matches Curzon Ashton is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Matlock is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Curzon Ashton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Curzon Ashton have a series of home games.

In this match Curzon Ashton is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Curzon Ashton won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Curzon Ashton won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Curzon Ashton
English National League North
14.11.23	Curzon Ashton - Blyth Spartans	3:1 ✺
11.11.23	Curzon Ashton - Bishops Stortford	1:0 ✺
07.11.23	Spennymoor Town - Curzon Ashton	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Curzon Ashton - Barnet	0:1 ✺
English National League North
28.10.23	Curzon Ashton - Chester	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWWLL
- Matlock Town
English NPL Premier Division
14.11.23	Matlock Town - Hyde United	3:2 ✺
11.11.23	Bradford Park Avenue - Matlock Town	2:3 ✺
04.11.23	Matlock Town - Radcliffe	4:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
28.10.23	North Ferriby FC - Matlock Town	0:3 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
24.10.23	Matlock Town - Basford United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
28.03.15	Matlock Town - Curzon Ashton	0:3
22.11.14	Curzon Ashton - Matlock Town	3:0

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