Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 23

Date: 16 December 2023, Saturday


	Banbury United		Farsley

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	3.2
	2.2	3	2.95
	2.3	3.2	3	Watch
	2.38	3.14	3.13
	2.38	3.14	3.13
	2.15	3.3	2.88
	2.28	3.18	3.05
	2.27	3	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (1.96)	3.16 ↓ (3.4)	3.05 ↓ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Banbury United
40.7%

Draw
29.1%

Farsley
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

26.5%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

26.4%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Banbury United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Banbury United's form might have worsened.

Farsley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Banbury United than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Banbury United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farsley than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Banbury United - Farsley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 16 and 14).

Banbury is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Farsley is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Farsley have a series of home games.

Banbury will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Banbury won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Banbury won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Banbury United
English National League North
12.12.23	King`s Lynn Town - Banbury United	1:2 ✺
25.11.23	Banbury United - Curzon Ashton	0:1 ✺
21.11.23	Banbury United - Bishops Stortford	2:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Banbury United - Nuneaton Town	2:4 ✺
English National League North
14.11.23	Hereford - Banbury United	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLTLL
- Farsley AFC
English National League North
12.12.23	Farsley - Curzon Ashton	2:1 ✺
25.11.23	Farsley - Hereford	0:0 ✺
21.11.23	Farsley - Spennymoor Town	0:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Farsley - Radcliffe	2:4 ✺
English National League North
14.11.23	Southport - Farsley	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
23.09.23	Farsley - Banbury United	0:1
25.02.23	Banbury United - Farsley	2:2
05.11.22	Farsley - Banbury United	3:1

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