Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 30

Date: 23 January 2024, Tuesday


	Banbury United		Gloucester City

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.3	2.75
	2.47	3.3	2.86
	2.45	3.25	2.5
	2.41	3.32	2.71
	2.4	3.2	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (1.88)	3.27 ↓ (3.44)	2.7 ↓ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Banbury United
37.9%

Draw
28.1%

Gloucester City
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

26.5%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

25.6%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Banbury United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Banbury United's form might have worsened.

Gloucester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gloucester City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Banbury United than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Banbury United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gloucester City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Banbury United - Gloucester City Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Banbury will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Gloucester will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Banbury has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Gloucester is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Gloucester could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Banbury won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Banbury won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Banbury United
English National League North
13.01.24	Blyth Spartans - Banbury United	2:2 ✺
01.01.24	Brackley Town - Banbury United	3:1 ✺
26.12.23	Banbury United - Brackley Town	0:1 ✺
23.12.23	Warrington Town - Banbury United	2:1 ✺
19.12.23	Banbury United - Chorley	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLLLL
- Gloucester City
English National League North
20.01.24	Gloucester City - Blyth Spartans	0:1 ✺
13.01.24	Chester - Gloucester City	3:0 ✺
06.01.24	Gloucester City - Southport	2:2 ✺
01.01.24	Hereford - Gloucester City	1:1 ✺
26.12.23	Gloucester City - Hereford	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
15.08.23	Gloucester City - Banbury United	0:2
07.04.23	Gloucester City - Banbury United	1:1
27.09.22	Banbury United - Gloucester City	1:1

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