Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 27

Date: 6 January 2024, Saturday


	Gloucester City		Southport

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	2.9
	2.15	3.6	3
	2.21	3.53	3.04
	2.21	3.53	3.04
	2.1	3.4	2.9
	2.17	3.46	3.07
	2.08	3.5	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.11)	3.49 ↑ (3.25)	2.99 ↓ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gloucester City
42.9%

Draw
26.4%

Southport
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

27.7%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

25.6%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gloucester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Southport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southport than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Gloucester City - Southport Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 19).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gloucester won 2.

Gloucester is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Southport has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Gloucester will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Gloucester won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Gloucester won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gloucester City
English National League North
01.01.24	Hereford - Gloucester City	1:1 ✺
26.12.23	Gloucester City - Hereford	2:3 ✺
23.12.23	Farsley - Gloucester City	1:0 ✺
19.12.23	Gloucester City - Curzon Ashton	3:0 ✺
16.12.23	Gloucester City - Darlington	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TLLWL
- Southport
English National League North
01.01.24	Southport - Curzon Ashton	0:3 ✺
26.12.23	Curzon Ashton - Southport	3:2 ✺
23.12.23	Southport - King`s Lynn Town	0:4 ✺
16.12.23	Tamworth - Southport	4:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
09.12.23	Chesterfield - Southport	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
14.10.23	Southport - Gloucester City	2:1
01.04.23	Southport - Gloucester City	0:1
08.10.22	Gloucester City - Southport	3:2
22.01.22	Gloucester City - Southport	0:1
14.08.21	Southport - Gloucester City	2:2
25.01.20	Gloucester City - Southport	0:1
07.12.19	Southport - Gloucester City	1:0

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