Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 25

Date: 26 December 2023, Tuesday


	Gloucester City		Hereford

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.2	2.3
	2.7	3.3	2.45	Watch
	2.88	3.31	2.45
	2.88	3.31	2.45
	2.62	3.3	2.3
	2.76	3.34	2.38
	2.8	3	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.68)	3.25 ↓ (3.45)	2.39 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gloucester City
33.3%

Draw
28.3%

Hereford
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

26.3%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

26.2%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gloucester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Hereford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hereford than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Gloucester City - Hereford Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gloucester won 4.

Recent matches Gloucester is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hereford is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Gloucester could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Hereford have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Gloucester won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Gloucester won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gloucester City
English National League North
23.12.23	Farsley - Gloucester City	1:0 ✺
19.12.23	Gloucester City - Curzon Ashton	3:0 ✺
16.12.23	Gloucester City - Darlington	0:1 ✺
12.12.23	Gloucester City - Peterborough Sports	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
09.12.23	Chippenham Town - Gloucester City	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWLWL
- Hereford FC
English National League North
23.12.23	Hereford - Spennymoor Town	2:1 ✺
16.12.23	Bishops Stortford - Hereford	0:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
09.12.23	Hereford - South Park	1:0 ✺
English National League North
05.12.23	Hereford - Warrington Town	2:1 ✺
02.12.23	Hereford - Scunthorpe United	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
14.01.23	Gloucester City - Hereford	2:0
29.08.22	Hereford - Gloucester City	1:3
18.04.22	Gloucester City - Hereford	1:0
25.01.22	Hereford - Gloucester City	2:1
17.11.20	Hereford - Gloucester City	0:1
06.08.19	Gloucester City - Hereford	0:2

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