Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 22

Date: 13 January 2024, Saturday


	Chester		Gloucester City

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.6	5.25
	1.41	4.2	6
	1.42	4.5	6.5	Watch
	1.52	4.29	6.2
	1.52	4.29	5.97
	1.4	4.2	6
	1.45	4.33	6.35
	1.42	4.3	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.48)	4.21 ↑ (4.15)	6.03 ↓ (6.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chester
62.9%

Draw
21.8%

Gloucester City
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

22.3%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

21.7%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chester has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

The chances for Gloucester City have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chester than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Chester - Gloucester City Predictions

Users Predictions: Chester will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 23 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chester won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Chester could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Chester have a series of guest games.

In this match Chester is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Chester won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Chester won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chester City
English National League North
06.01.24	Chester - Rushall Olympic	0:1 ✺
01.01.24	Warrington Town - Chester	1:0 ✺
26.12.23	Chester - Warrington Town	2:0 ✺
23.12.23	Blyth Spartans - Chester	2:2 ✺
16.12.23	Chester - Boston United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWTT
- Gloucester City
English National League North
06.01.24	Gloucester City - Southport	2:2 ✺
01.01.24	Hereford - Gloucester City	1:1 ✺
26.12.23	Gloucester City - Hereford	2:3 ✺
23.12.23	Farsley - Gloucester City	1:0 ✺
19.12.23	Gloucester City - Curzon Ashton	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
21.02.23	Gloucester City - Chester	1:1
25.10.22	Chester - Gloucester City	1:1
22.03.22	Gloucester City - Chester	3:3
26.10.21	Chester - Gloucester City	3:2
31.10.20	Gloucester City - Chester	2:1
17.08.19	Chester - Gloucester City	4:0
16.03.13	Chester - Gloucester City	2:0

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