Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 29

Date: 20 January 2024, Saturday


	Gloucester City		Blyth Spartans

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.5	2.4
	2.62	3.42	2.56
	2.6	3.3	2.38
	2.54	3.48	2.48
	2.55	3.4	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (2.8)	3.42 ↓ (3.6)	2.44 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gloucester City
35.5%

Draw
26.9%

Blyth Spartans
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

25.7%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

24.9%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gloucester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Blyth Spartans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blyth Spartans than the current prediction. (+5%)

Gloucester City - Blyth Spartans Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gloucester won 0.

Gloucester is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Blyth is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Gloucester won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Gloucester won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gloucester City
English National League North
13.01.24	Chester - Gloucester City	3:0 ✺
06.01.24	Gloucester City - Southport	2:2 ✺
01.01.24	Hereford - Gloucester City	1:1 ✺
26.12.23	Gloucester City - Hereford	2:3 ✺
23.12.23	Farsley - Gloucester City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTTLL
- Blyth Spartans
English National League North
13.01.24	Blyth Spartans - Banbury United	2:2 ✺
06.01.24	Bishops Stortford - Blyth Spartans	1:3 ✺
30.12.23	Blyth Spartans - South Shields	2:1 ✺
26.12.23	South Shields - Blyth Spartans	1:3 ✺
23.12.23	Blyth Spartans - Chester	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
05.08.23	Blyth Spartans - Gloucester City	4:2
21.01.23	Gloucester City - Blyth Spartans	2:2
20.08.22	Blyth Spartans - Gloucester City	2:0
07.05.22	Gloucester City - Blyth Spartans	2:2
15.01.22	Blyth Spartans - Gloucester City	2:0
17.10.20	Gloucester City - Blyth Spartans	6:1
03.08.19	Blyth Spartans - Gloucester City	1:2

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