Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 14

Date: 20 October 2026, Tuesday


	Banbury United		Leighton Town

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.40	3.60
	1.8	3.4	3.65
	1.76	3.55	3.87
	1.83	3.81	3.86	Watch
	1.72	3.45	3.75
	1.78	3.55	3.77
	1.8	3.45	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (2.18)	3.52 ↑ (3.25)	3.74 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Banbury United
50.3%

Draw
25.6%

Leighton Town
24.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.1%

27.5%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

25.8%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Banbury United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Banbury United's performance.

Leighton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leighton Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Banbury United than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Banbury United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leighton Town than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leighton Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Banbury United - Leighton Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Nash B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
83', Prosser A. 🟥,

Preview

A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 18th and 21st in the Relegation).

Banbury has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Leighton Town is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Banbury may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Banbury is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Banbury	13	3	4	6	16:23	-7	13
21	Leighton Town	12	1	2	9	13:26	-13	5

Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now

Banbury: 0.37% Leighton Town: 0.37%

Last Results with these Odds

Banbury United - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 41.06%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Banbury United
English Southern League Central Division
17.10.26	Bromsgrove Sporting - Banbury United	1:1 ✺
13.10.26	Peterborough Sports - Banbury United	4:2 ✺
10.10.26	Banbury United - Stamford	3:2 ✺
29.09.26	Banbury United - Stratford Town	2:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
26.09.26	Peterborough Sports - Banbury United	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TLWLW
- Leighton Town
English Southern League Central Division
17.10.26	Leighton Town - Rushall Olympic	0:3 ✺
10.10.26	Stourbridge - Leighton Town	2:1 ✺
03.10.26	Leighton Town - Peterborough Sports	2:4 ✺
29.09.26	Hitchin Town - Leighton Town	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Halesowen Town - Leighton Town	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

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