Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 11

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Stourbridge		Leighton Town

	1	X	2
	1.80	3.40	3.65
	1.85	3.52	3.76
	1.88	3.71	3.71	Watch
	1.82	3.45	3.70
	1.80	3.55	3.68
	1.83	3.55	3.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.88)	3.53 ↓ (3.58)	3.7 ↑ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stourbridge
49.7%

Draw
25.8%

Leighton Town
24.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.2%

25.3%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

21.7%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stourbridge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Leighton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stourbridge than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stourbridge that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leighton Town than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leighton Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Stourbridge - Leighton Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Verma J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 1 - 1, Winters T. ⚽,
73', 2 - 1, Verma J. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 15th and 21st in the Relegation).

Stourbridge is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Leighton Town has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Stourbridge carries the favorite tag into this contest.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Stourbridge	13	5	4	4	15:16	-1	19
21	Leighton Town	13	1	3	9	14:27	-13	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stourbridge FC
English Southern League Central Division
03.10.26	Stourbridge - Racing Club Warwick	0:1 ✺
29.09.26	Alvechurch - Stourbridge	0:0 ✺
22.09.26	Stourbridge - Real Bedford	1:4 ✺
12.09.26	Hitchin Town - Stourbridge	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
06.09.26	Stourbridge - Rushall Olympic	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTLTL
- Leighton Town
English Southern League Central Division
03.10.26	Leighton Town - Peterborough Sports	2:4 ✺
29.09.26	Hitchin Town - Leighton Town	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Halesowen Town - Leighton Town	4:2 ✺
31.08.26	Real Bedford - Leighton Town	3:2 ✺
29.08.26	Leighton Town - Bury Town	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Stourbridge - Leighton Town