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Current Win Probability
Peterborough Sports 48.1%
Draw 26.1%
Banbury United 25.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
45.6%
27.2%
27.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.4%
26.2%
26.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peterborough Sports has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
Banbury United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterborough Sports than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Banbury United than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Peterborough Sports - Banbury United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Lobjoit L. ⚽,
13', 1 - 1, George AJ ⚽,
24', 2 - 1, Williams H. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
58', 3 - 1, Richens M. ⚽,
75', 3 - 2, Steele L. ⚽,
90+3', 4 - 2, Richens M. ⚽,
90+5', Cooke J. 🟥,
Preview
One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 7th in the Promotion - Southern League Premier Central Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 17th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peterborough Sports won 3.
Peterborough Sports is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Banbury has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Peterborough Sports may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Peterborough Sports is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Peterborough Sports has recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:15 (averaging 1.6:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Peterborough Sports against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 10:13 goals (averaging 1.7:2.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Peterborough Sports
14
6
5
3
27:23
4
23
18
Banbury
14
3
4
7
16:26
-10
13
Last Results with these Odds
Peterborough Sports - the odds 1.97 are the expected chance of winning is 45.58%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
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