Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 31

Date: 27 January 2024, Saturday


	Banbury United		Scarborough Athletic

	1	X	2
	4.8	3.7	1.55
	5	4	1.6
	5	3.8	1.56
	4.99	4.08	1.63
	5	3.75	1.55
	5.02	3.82	1.62
	4.7	3.8	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.93 ↑ (3.67)	3.85 ↑ (3.68)	1.59 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Banbury United
18.6%

Draw
23.8%

Scarborough Athletic
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

25.2%

49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

24.8%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Banbury United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Banbury United's form might have worsened.

Scarborough Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Scarborough Athletic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Banbury United than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Banbury United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Scarborough Athletic than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Scarborough Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Banbury United - Scarborough Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Banbury will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Scarborough will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Banbury has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Scarborough is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Scarborough could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Scarborough is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Banbury won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Banbury won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Banbury United
English National League North
23.01.24	Banbury United - Gloucester City	1:2 ✺
13.01.24	Blyth Spartans - Banbury United	2:2 ✺
01.01.24	Brackley Town - Banbury United	3:1 ✺
26.12.23	Banbury United - Brackley Town	0:1 ✺
23.12.23	Warrington Town - Banbury United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LTLLL
- Scarborough Athletic
English National League North
23.01.24	Blyth Spartans - Scarborough Athletic	0:1 ✺
20.01.24	Scarborough Athletic - Peterborough Sports	1:1 ✺
16.01.24	Scarborough Athletic - Boston United	3:2 ✺
13.01.24	Farsley - Scarborough Athletic	2:0 ✺
09.01.24	Spennymoor Town - Scarborough Athletic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
12.08.23	Scarborough Athletic - Banbury United	3:0
29.04.23	Scarborough Athletic - Banbury United	3:3
24.09.22	Banbury United - Scarborough Athletic	2:1

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