Match Info

National League North - Round 24

Date: 30 December 2025, Tuesday


	Spennymoor Town		Scarborough Athletic

	1	X	2
	2	3.5	3.1
	2.05	3.55	3.1
	2.04	3.77	3.19	Watch
	2.05	3.3	3.1
	2.02	3.44	3.19
	2	3.6	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.97)	3.53 ↑ (3.52)	3.15 ↓ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spennymoor Town
45.1%

Draw
25.9%

Scarborough Athletic
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

26%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

24.6%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spennymoor Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Scarborough Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spennymoor Town than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Scarborough Athletic than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Spennymoor Town - Scarborough Athletic Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Heaney M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
85', 1 - 1, Maloney L. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 9 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spennymoor won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Spennymoor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Spennymoor will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Spennymoor won 0 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Spennymoor won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Scarborough Athletic - the odds 3.31 are the expected chance of winning is 27.63%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spennymoor Town
English National League North
26.12.25	South Shields - Spennymoor Town	6:0 ✺
20.12.25	Spennymoor Town - Oxford City	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Spennymoor Town - Buxton	2:2 ✺
06.12.25	Marine - Spennymoor Town	0:2 ✺
25.11.25	Chorley - Spennymoor Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LTTWT
- Scarborough Athletic
English National League North
26.12.25	Scarborough Athletic - Darlington	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	Peterborough Sports - Scarborough Athletic	0:4 ✺
16.12.25	Scarborough Athletic - Radcliffe	0:3 ✺
06.12.25	Scarborough Athletic - Bedford Town	2:2 ✺
29.11.25	Macclesfield Town - Scarborough Athletic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
18.04.25	Spennymoor Town - Scarborough Athletic	1:1
01.01.25	Scarborough Athletic - Spennymoor Town	1:1
06.04.24	Scarborough Athletic - Spennymoor Town	1:1
09.01.24	Spennymoor Town - Scarborough Athletic	1:1
18.02.23	Spennymoor Town - Scarborough Athletic	2:2
29.10.22	Scarborough Athletic - Spennymoor Town	2:2

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