Match Info

Premier League - Round 30

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday


	Bandari		Ulinzi Stars

	1	X	2
	2.88	2.58	2.68
	2.92	2.49	2.73
	2.97	2.6	2.69	Watch
	2.95	2.49	2.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.12)	2.54 ↓ (2.76)	2.7 ↓ (3.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bandari
30.9%

Draw
35.6%

Ulinzi Stars
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

33.2%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

33.5%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bandari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bandari's form might have worsened.

Ulinzi Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ulinzi Stars's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bandari than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bandari, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulinzi Stars than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ulinzi Stars, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bandari - Ulinzi Stars Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 1 - 1, ⚽,
69', 1 - 2, ⚽,
82', 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bandari won 2.

In recent matches, Bandari has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ulinzi Stars is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Bandari may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Bandari could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bandari won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:19. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Bandari won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:6. (average 1.6:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Ulinzi Stars	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Bandari	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Last Results with these Odds

Bandari - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 43.18%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bandari FC
Kenyan FKF Cup
12.04.26	3K - Bandari	0:2 ✺
Kenyan Premier League
28.03.26	Bandari - Bidco United	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Kakamega Homeboyz - Bandari	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Bandari - Mara Sugar	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Police FC - Bandari	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWTTL
- Ulinzi Stars
Kenyan Premier League
18.04.26	Kenya CB - Ulinzi Stars	2:3 ✺
Kenyan FKF Cup
12.04.26	Kakamega Homeboyz - Ulinzi Stars	0:1 ✺
Kenyan Premier League
04.04.26	Ulinzi Stars - APS Bomet	0:1 ✺
29.03.26	Ulinzi Stars - Sofapaka	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Nairobi United - Ulinzi Stars	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
30.11.25	Ulinzi Stars - Bandari	1:1
29.03.25	Bandari - Ulinzi Stars	2:1
11.12.24	Ulinzi Stars - Bandari	1:1
06.04.24	Ulinzi Stars - Bandari	1:0
16.09.23	Bandari - Ulinzi Stars	1:0
05.04.23	Bandari - Ulinzi Stars	5:0
18.01.23	Ulinzi Stars - Bandari	2:1

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