Match Info

Premier League - Round 25

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday


	Nairobi United		Ulinzi Stars

	1	X	2
	1.92	2.92	4.05
	1.97	2.86	4.07
	1.97	2.92	4.13	Watch
	1.92	2.88	4.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.87)	2.9 ↓ (3.16)	4.14 (4.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nairobi United
46.7%

Draw
31.4%

Ulinzi Stars
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

29%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

28.9%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nairobi United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Ulinzi Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nairobi United than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulinzi Stars than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Nairobi United - Ulinzi Stars Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
67', 0 - 2, ⚽,
72', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League).

In recent matches, Nairobi United has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ulinzi Stars is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Ulinzi Stars may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Nairobi United is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nairobi United won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Ulinzi Stars	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Nairobi United	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nairobi United
Kenyan Premier League
18.03.26	AFC Leopards - Nairobi United	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Sofapaka - Nairobi United	0:1 ✺
04.03.26	Nairobi United - Kenya CB	1:1 ✺
25.02.26	Bandari - Nairobi United	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Nairobi United - Bidco United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWTTW
- Ulinzi Stars
Kenyan Premier League
15.03.26	Ulinzi Stars - Gor Mahia	1:3 ✺
02.03.26	Bidco United - Ulinzi Stars	1:0 ✺
26.02.26	Ulinzi Stars - Kakamega Homeboyz	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Mara Sugar - Ulinzi Stars	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Ulinzi Stars - Police FC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
11.01.26	Ulinzi Stars - Nairobi United	1:1

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