Match Info

Premier League - Round 28

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Kenya CB		Ulinzi Stars

	1	X	2
	2.18	2.78	3.4
	2.16	2.91	4
	2.1	2.79	3.87	Watch
	2.26	2.67	3.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (1.97)	2.79 ↓ (2.88)	3.7 ↓ (4.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kenya CB
42.2%

Draw
32.9%

Ulinzi Stars
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

31.8%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

30.4%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kenya CB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Ulinzi Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kenya CB than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kenya CB, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulinzi Stars than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Kenya CB - Ulinzi Stars Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
22', 0 - 1, ⚽,
43', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', 1 - 2, ⚽,
63', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KCB won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

KCB may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, KCB is seen as the favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, KCB won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 0.9:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, KCB won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.3:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Ulinzi Stars	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	KCB	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Last Results with these Odds

Ulinzi Stars - the odds 4.22 are the expected chance of winning is 21.71%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kenya Commercial Bank SC
Kenyan Premier League
05.04.26	Bidco United - Kenya CB	0:1 ✺
28.03.26	Kenya CB - Mara Sugar	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Police FC - Kenya CB	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Kenya CB - Muranga Seal	1:1 ✺
04.03.26	Nairobi United - Kenya CB	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWLTT
- Ulinzi Stars
Kenyan FKF Cup
12.04.26	Kakamega Homeboyz - Ulinzi Stars	0:1 ✺
Kenyan Premier League
04.04.26	Ulinzi Stars - APS Bomet	0:1 ✺
29.03.26	Ulinzi Stars - Sofapaka	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Nairobi United - Ulinzi Stars	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Ulinzi Stars - Gor Mahia	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
11.12.25	Ulinzi Stars - Kenya CB	1:2
15.03.25	Ulinzi Stars - Kenya CB	1:2
29.09.24	Kenya CB - Ulinzi Stars	1:0
14.01.24	Ulinzi Stars - Kenya CB	0:0
21.10.23	Kenya CB - Ulinzi Stars	1:1
09.04.23	Ulinzi Stars - Kenya CB	0:0
22.01.23	Kenya CB - Ulinzi Stars	0:0

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