Match Info

1. Lig - Round 11

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Bandirma 17 Eylül Stadyumu (Bandırma)

Referee: Kolak B. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Bandırmaspor		Erokspor

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.4	2.55	Watch
	2.53	3.3	2.53
	2.23	3.51	3.01
	2.42	3.41	2.70	Watch
	2.54	3.28	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.42)	3.38 ↓ (3.41)	2.67 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bandırmaspor
37.7%

Draw
27.5%

Erokspor
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

27.2%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

26.7%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bandırmaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Erokspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Bandırmaspor aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erokspor than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	14.3%	28.6%

Bandırmaspor - Erokspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Bandırmaspor will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Erokspor will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bandırmaspor: 31.2% – 83%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bandırmaspor (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Erokspor (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Bandırmaspor (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Erokspor (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ozcimen A. (G) 77. Berisbek R. 4. Hountondji C. 33. Nukan A. 5. Kalender T. 53. Albayrak M. 17. Ndongala D. 10. Gumuskaya M. 6. Ciftci H. 7. Bacuna L. 99. Douglas Tanque	34. Cetin E. (G) 77. Bilazer H. 16. Yasar A. 15. Nzaba F. 19. Gedik E. 6. Jack R. 5. Okyar M. 89. Amilton 20. Niyaz R. 73. Lus B. 10. Kayode O.
Substitutes
30. Acar E. 16. Alkan A. (G) 19. Atci A. 34. Aydin E. 23. Burgaz G. 8. Cinemre E. 88. Esendemir Y. 94. Samake W. 11. Topalli J. 18. Turkmen C.	33. Alic E. 7. Catakovic H. 97. Cavare D. 11. Faye M. 23. Hidayetoglu A. 4. Kacar T. 8. Karaman A. 17. Korkmaz E. 1. Tetik B. (G) 14. Ulas O.
Coaches
Gursel M.	Ozkoylu O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Niyaz R. ↓, Kacar T. ↑,
17', Yasar A. 🟨,
32', Hountondji C. ↓, Aydin E. ↑,
40', Ndongala D. 🟥,
45+1', Douglas Tanque 🟨,
45+1', Douglas Tanque 🟥,
45+2', Nukan A. 🟨,
45+5', Albayrak M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Yasar A. ↓, Ulas O. ↑,
46', Okyar M. ↓, Catakovic H. ↑,
66', Lus B. ↓, Karaman A. ↑,
78', Albayrak M. ↓, Esendemir Y. ↑,
78', Kalender T. ↓, Burgaz G. ↑,
79', Nzaba F. ↓, Faye M. ↑,
86', Karaman A. 🟨,
87', Ozcimen A. 🟨,
90+3', Gedik E. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Bandırmaspor has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Erokspor is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Bandırmaspor: Celibkay T. (Inactive) Mulumba R. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Bandırmaspor: Turkmen C. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bandırmaspor won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Bandırmaspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bandırmaspor
Turkish First League
20.10.25	İstanbulspor - Bandırmaspor	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Bandırmaspor - Umraniyespor	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Hatayspor - Bandırmaspor	0:3 ✺
24.09.25	Bandırmaspor - Manisa FK	1:4 ✺
19.09.25	Serik Belediyespor - Bandırmaspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWWLL
- Erokspor
Turkish First League
19.10.25	Erokspor - Bodrumspor	1:1 ✺
03.10.25	Boluspor - Erokspor	1:3 ✺
27.09.25	Erokspor - Igdirspor	2:3 ✺
24.09.25	Erokspor - İstanbulspor	5:0 ✺
20.09.25	Manisa FK - Erokspor	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
27.04.25	Bandırmaspor - Erokspor	1:0
22.12.24	Erokspor - Bandırmaspor	1:1

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