Match Info

ARGENTINA: LIGA PROFESIONAL - ROUND 16

Date: 13 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Florencio Sola (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Echenique F. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Banfield		San Lorenzo

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.9	2.63	Watch
	3	2.8	2.6
	3.05	2.95	2.6
	3.12	2.81	2.8
	3.1	2.8	2.65	Watch
	3.05	2.75	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.7)	2.84 ↓ (2.9)	2.66 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Banfield
31.1%

Draw
33.3%

San Lorenzo
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

32.2%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

31.7%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Banfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

San Lorenzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Banfield than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.1%	42.9%	50%

Banfield - San Lorenzo Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Banfield will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). San Lorenzo will win (votes: 7 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for San Lorenzo: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 24 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).

Banfield has the most likely position - 25 (9.48%), project points - 29, currently - 15, a very small chance of win league (<1%).

San Lorenzo has the most likely position - 2 (20.85%), project points - 47, currently - 29, a very small chance of win league (3%).

This event has quality 39, small importance 10, small match rating 24. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Banfield won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Banfield could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Banfield: Gissi D. (Injury) Gonzalez M. (Injury) Maldonado A. (Injury)

There will not play in San Lorenzo: James J. (Injury)

Last 15 head-to-head matches Banfield won 5 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Banfield won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Banfield
Argentinian Liga Profesional
06.05.23	Colón - Banfield	2:0 ✺
29.04.23	Banfield - Barracas Central	0:0 ✺
23.04.23	Instituto Córdoba - Banfield	1:1 ✺
17.04.23	Banfield - Central Córdoba	1:0 ✺
11.04.23	Banfield - Defensa y Justicia	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTTWL
- San Lorenzo
Argentinian Liga Profesional
08.05.23	San Lorenzo - Defensa y Justicia	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
03.05.23	Palestino - San Lorenzo	0:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
29.04.23	Vélez Sársfield - San Lorenzo	0:0 ✺
23.04.23	San Lorenzo - Platense	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
20.04.23	San Lorenzo - Fortaleza	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.07.22	Banfield - San Lorenzo	1:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
11.02.22	Banfield - San Lorenzo	0:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.08.21	San Lorenzo - Banfield	1:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
14.03.21	Banfield - San Lorenzo	0:0
10.01.21	Banfield - San Lorenzo	4:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
29.09.19	Banfield - San Lorenzo	0:1
07.10.18	Banfield - San Lorenzo	2:0

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