The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
San Lorenzo 41.9%
Draw 34.3%
Defensa y Justicia 23.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.9%
31.4%
24.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.5%
33.3%
23.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
53.3%
46.7%
0%
San Lorenzo - Defensa y Justicia Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. San Lorenzo will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for San Lorenzo: 28.1% – 78.5%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.5 - Defensa y Justicia (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Defensa y Justicia (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Gill O. (G) 32. Herrera E. 4. Romana J. 16. Corujo G. 6. De Ritis M. 24. Tripichio N. (C) 5. Perruzzi I. 10. Gulli F. 19. Vietto L. 14. Ladstatter A. 9. Cuello A.
22. Fiermarin C. (G) 29. Fernandez D. 6. Amor E. 21. Martinez D. (C) 33. Souto L. 15. Sosa S. 10. Molinas A. 27. Pereyra E. 24. Gutierrez J. 20. Botta R. 17. Hausch A.
Substitutes
26. Abrego G. 29. Auzmendi R. 28. Barrios N. 15. Cardillo M. 25. Devecchi J. (G) 44. Hernandez M. 34. Lopez F. 42. Lorenzon F. 21. Perruzzi F. 11. Reali M. 17. Rodriguez G. 3. Rodriguez Pagano T.
25. Altamira F. 36. Amade L. (G) 11. Banega E. 19. Barbona D. 26. Caceres D. 31. Coria A. 30. Fernandez D. 9. Gonzalez L. 55. Lopez J. 2. Lucero S. 32. Roselli N. 18. Toloza S.
Coaches
Ayude D.
Soso M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Pereyra E. ⚽, Botta R. (A),
45', 0 - 2, Gutierrez J. ⚽, Martinez D. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 3)
46', De Ritis M. ↓, Rodriguez Pagano T. ↑,
49', Fernandez D. 🟨,
63', Vietto L. ↓, Auzmendi R. ↑,
63', Gulli F. ↓, Abrego G. ↑,
64', 0 - 3, Molinas A. (Penalty Awarded),
65', 1 - 3, Auzmendi R. ⚽,
67', Ladstatter A. 🟥,
68', Romana J. 🟨,
70', Pereyra E. ↓, Lucero S. ↑,
70', Fernandez D. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
70', Botta R. ↓, Altamira F. ↑,
74', Lucero S. 🟨,
75', 1 - 4, Hausch A. ⚽,
78', Tripichio N. ↓, Cardillo M. ↑,
83', Cuello A. (Penalty Awarded),
85', Hausch A. ↓, Barbona D. ↑,
89', 2 - 4, Auzmendi R. ⚽, Cuello A. (A),
90', Perruzzi I. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
90', Gutierrez J. ↓, Coria A. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 5, Barbona D. ⚽,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Recently, Defensa y Justicia has had a series of home games.
San Lorenzo could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 1.3:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, San Lorenzo won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.5:1.8).