Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 2

Date: 20 April 2023, Thursday

Location: Estadio Pedro Bidegain (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Ostojich E. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Portugal	Sport TV


	San Lorenzo		Fortaleza

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	3.6	Watch
	2.25	2.9	3.5
	2.12	3	3.9
	2.27	3.05	3.61
	2.2	2.75	3.6
	2.27	2.9	3.64	Watch
	2.23	2.85	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2.05)	2.94 ↓ (3.3)	3.63 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Lorenzo
42.2%

Draw
32%

Fortaleza
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

28%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

27.5%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	60%	10%

San Lorenzo - Fortaleza Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. San Lorenzo will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Fortaleza will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Recently Fortaleza have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Lorenzo
Argentinian Liga Profesional
16.04.23	Talleres de Córdoba - San Lorenzo	0:0 ✺
12.04.23	San Lorenzo - Boca Juniors	1:0 ✺
08.04.23	Atlético Tucumán - San Lorenzo	1:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
04.04.23	Estudiantes de Mérida - San Lorenzo	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.04.23	San Lorenzo - Independiente	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TWWWT
- Fortaleza EC
Brazilian Serie A
15.04.23	Fortaleza - Internacional RS	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
11.04.23	Fortaleza - Águia de Marabá	6:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
08.04.23	Ceará - Fortaleza	2:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
05.04.23	Fortaleza - Palestino	4:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
01.04.23	Fortaleza - Ceará	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TWTWW

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