Match Info

Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 6

Date: 24 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Alberto J. Armando (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Lamolina N. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Argentina	HBO Max, TNT Sports
Belarus	Okko Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
China	K-Ball
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	Como TV, Sportitalia
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Mexico	Disney+, Fanatiz
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV1
Serbia	Arena Premium 3, Arena Premium 4
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-america	ESPN South
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Boca Juniors		Banfield

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.5	5	Watch
	1.62	3.4	6.25
	1.72	3.4	5.3	Watch
	1.78	3.46	5.36
	1.66	3.61	5.64	Watch
	1.72	3.5	5.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.67)	3.48 ↓ (3.58)	5.47 ↓ (5.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boca Juniors
55.4%

Draw
27.2%

Banfield
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

26.5%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

26%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Banfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Banfield than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.2%	12.5%	6.2%

Boca Juniors - Banfield Predictions

Users Predictions: Boca Juniors will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Boca Juniors will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Marchesin A. (G) 24. Barinaga J. 40. Di Lollo L. 26. Pellegrino M. 23. Blanco L. 33. Aguirre B. 6. Battaglia R. 5. Paredes L. 8. Carlos Palacios 10. Cavani E. (C) 16. Miguel Merentiel	1. Sanguinetti F. (G) 4. Alfaro J. L. 2. Maldonado A. (C) 14. Vittor S. 33. Abraham I. 7. Castaneda F. 8. Rios L. 5. Rio M. 10. Rios G. 16. Mendez M. 22. Auzmendi R.
Substitutes
17. Advincula L. 15. Alarcon Cepeda W. H. 27. Braida M. 12. Brey L. (G) 32. Costa A. 43. Delgado M. 18. Fabra F. 4. Figal J. 9. Gimenez M. 11. Janson L. 20. Velasco A. 7. Zeballos E.	20. Adoryan T. 11. Alaniz A. 3. Arboleda D. 19. Colazo N. 34. Daniele S. 35. Esquivel S. 29. Iribarren J. 24. Lopez S. 32. Obando A. 37. Perrotta T. 25. Romero D. (G) 27. Vega G.
Coaches
Russo M.	Troglio P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Troglio P. 🟨,
37', Troglio P. 🟥,
45+2', Di Lollo L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', 1 - 0, Miguel Merentiel ⚽, Aguirre B. (A),
68', Rios L. ↓, Esquivel S. ↑,
68', Castaneda F. ↓, Adoryan T. ↑,
75', Carlos Palacios ↓, Alarcon Cepeda W. H. ↑,
75', Aguirre B. ↓, Zeballos E. ↑,
80', Alfaro J. L. ↓, Lopez S. ↑,
80', Rios G. ↓, Alaniz A. ↑,
82', 2 - 0, Cavani E. ⚽,
84', Miguel Merentiel ↓, Velasco A. ↑,
88', Paredes L. ↓, Delgado M. ↑,
88', Barinaga J. ↓, Advincula L. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Boca Juniors is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Boca Juniors: Belmonte T. (Muscle Injury) Herrera A. (Muscle Injury) Romero S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Banfield: Alfaro J. L. (Injury) Arturia M. (Muscle Injury) Nasif T. (Ankle Injury) Oviedo B. (Knee Injury) Pombo J. (Shoulder Injury) Sepulveda B. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Banfield: Pinero L. (Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:7. (average 1.4:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Boca Juniors won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:3. (average 2.2:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boca Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.08.25	Independiente Rivadavia - Boca Juniors	0:3 ✺
09.08.25	Boca Juniors - Racing	1:1 ✺
27.07.25	Huracán Buenos Aires - Boca Juniors	1:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
23.07.25	Boca Juniors - Atlético Tucumán	1:2 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
18.07.25	Boca Juniors - Unión Santa Fe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WTLLT
- CA Banfield
Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.08.25	Banfield - Estudiantes La Plata	3:2 ✺
09.08.25	Belgrano - Banfield	2:1 ✺
28.07.25	Banfield - Barracas Central	1:3 ✺
20.07.25	Newells Old Boys - Banfield	1:2 ✺
14.07.25	Banfield - Defensa y Justicia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
14.02.25	Banfield - Boca Juniors	0:1
31.07.24	Boca Juniors - Banfield	3:0
12.03.23	Banfield - Boca Juniors	1:0
01.07.22	Boca Juniors - Banfield	0:3
24.07.21	Banfield - Boca Juniors	0:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
17.01.21	Banfield - Boca Juniors	1:2 penalties
Argentinian Liga Profesional
25.08.19	Banfield - Boca Juniors	0:1

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