Match Info

Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 8

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Libertadores de América (Avellaneda)

Referee: Gariano A. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	HBO Max, TNT Sports
China	K-Ball
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Independiente		Banfield

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.2	4.75	Watch
	1.72	3.3	5.5
	1.88	3.15	4.65	Watch
	1.72	3.42	5.89
	5.96	2.82	1.85	Watch
	1.91	3.23	4.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (1.69)	3.19 ↓ (3.42)	4.57 ↓ (5.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente
42.8%

Draw
33.7%

Banfield
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

27.5%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

26.6%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente's form might have worsened.

Banfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Banfield's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (+14.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Banfield than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Banfield, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.9%	0%	7.1%

Independiente - Banfield Predictions

Users Predictions: Independiente will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Independiente will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Rey R. (G) 4. Vera F. 26. Lomonaco K. 36. Valdez S. 22. Zabala F. 5. Loyola F. 23. Marcone I. 17. Mazzantti W. 14. Millan L. 7. Montiel S. 25. Pussetto I.	1. Sanguinetti F. (G) 24. Lopez S. 14. Vittor S. 26. Meriano N. 33. Abraham I. 7. Castaneda F. 8. Rios L. 5. Rio M. 10. Rios G. 16. Mendez M. 22. Auzmendi R.
Substitutes
19. Abaldo M. 9. Avalos G. 1. Blazquez J. (G) 10. Cabral L. 6. Freire N. 8. Galdames P. 29. Godoy L. 11. Mancuello F. 32. Paredes F. 20. Rodrigo Fernandez 27. Tarzia D. 3. Valenzuela M.	11. Alaniz A. 44. Alfaro J. L. 3. Arboleda D. 28. Arturia M. 19. Colazo N. 34. Daniele S. 35. Esquivel S. 18. Furch J. 23. Palavecino L. 25. Romero D. (G) 9. Sepulveda B. 27. Vega G.
Coaches
Vaccari J.	Troglio P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', Rios L. 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Rio M. ⚽, Rios G. (A),
39', Pussetto I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Loyola F. ↓, Cabral L. ↑,
46', Millan L. ↓, Galdames P. ↑,
46', Castaneda F. ↓, Adoryan T. ↑,
46', Rios L. ↓, Palavecino L. ↑,
55', Pussetto I. ↓, Avalos G. ↑,
56', Mazzantti W. ↓, Abaldo M. ↑,
69', Auzmendi R. ↓, Furch J. ↑,
75', Vera F. ↓, Godoy L. ↑,
83', Rios G. ↓, Sepulveda B. ↑,
84', Meriano N. ↓, Daniele S. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Independiente is considered a favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 0.9:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Independiente won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 0.6:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Independiente
Argentinian Liga Profesional
29.08.25	Instituto Córdoba - Independiente	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
20.08.25	Independiente - Universidad de Chile	Abandoned ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
16.08.25	Vélez Sársfield - Independiente	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
13.08.25	Universidad de Chile - Independiente	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
09.08.25	Independiente - River Plate	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 T?LLT
- CA Banfield
Argentinian Liga Profesional
29.08.25	Banfield - Tigre	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Boca Juniors - Banfield	2:0 ✺
17.08.25	Banfield - Estudiantes La Plata	3:2 ✺
09.08.25	Belgrano - Banfield	2:1 ✺
28.07.25	Banfield - Barracas Central	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
04.03.25	Banfield - Independiente	0:0
12.06.24	Independiente - Banfield	2:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
05.04.24	Banfield - Independiente	0:1
12.11.23	Independiente - Banfield	0:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
26.02.23	Banfield - Independiente	0:0
16.10.22	Independiente - Banfield	1:0
30.11.21	Banfield - Independiente	4:1

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